Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $240 before 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaca1fc480ef849872e8537a48d5e43938e217bbc2f5b2882de80a05611185c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 76c | 19,557$14,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,627.98 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…181ebacked No | 23c | 15,858$3,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,685.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 47c | 13,293$6,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,262.38 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff3d…3fddbacked Yes | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05bf…1ab0backed Yes | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 2,106$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 76c | 450$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 17c | 328.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 23c | 281.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f27…1219backed Yes | 74c | 240$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 75c | 237.26$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 183$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf444…d10abacked Yes | 61c | 160.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…7776backed No | 23c | 147.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…0309backed No | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 41c | 69.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acd…8d33backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b13…8ec2backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6f…09d5backed Yes | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…2650backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…e395backed Yes | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4db…652cbacked Yes | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb916…906fbacked Yes | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd2…b69abacked No | 55c | 20.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…efdbbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x244f…6baebacked Yes | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe439…76e2backed Yes | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $240 before 2026?this page
- Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $130 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $140 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $200 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?No won
- Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?No won
- Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?No won
- Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.