TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$648,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$627,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $648,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x46ee…0752backed Yes2c46,151$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.35120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes3c26,700$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.318315.3%28 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56db…750bbacked Yes2c23,065$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.08220%0 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes13c19,571$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.311198.4%10 W · 109 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+90.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x362e…fa25backed Yes2c15,542$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.11130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d5…b3d8backed Yes1c13,824$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c12,933$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.641,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc632…55bebacked Yes3c10,127$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.813611.1%4 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-39.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf274…37f4backed Yes2c9,376$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.995612.5%7 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb836…9e4ebacked Yes3c8,024$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.85837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+122.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc89b…f512backed Yes8c6,484$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x593e…80aabacked Yes12c6,251$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7251414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-78.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes2c6,120$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004422.7%10 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7df2…01afbacked Yes1c6,000$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858411.9%10 W · 74 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick4cpaid+599.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7558…2d70backed Yes2c5,717$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.731105.5%6 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick4cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa14…f533backed Yes3c5,492$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes9c5,236$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.6722216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes1c5,112$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.79306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46aa…258abacked Yes2c5,015$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e1…5c61backed Yes3c5,000$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.690%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e6d…e408backed Yes1c5,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes2c4,784$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.442999.4%28 W · 271 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef92…4d4abacked Yes2c4,410$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.18520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-66.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdba7…6492backed Yes11c4,379$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1bd…9980backed Yes1c4,151$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbea1…f351backed Yes2c3,980$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f5…ea74backed Yes1c3,776$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5090%0 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c3,563$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.226785.9%40 W · 638 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…c4a4backed Yes6c3,372$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.32616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f40…66aabacked Yes2c3,110$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb803…b265backed Yes1c3,082$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.88238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes1c2,870$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.18137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-89.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7676…f694backed Yes2c2,542$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.221346.2%6 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick23cpaid+68.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes1c2,254$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.734163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbf…d5d1backed Yes2c2,180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.49per pick11cpaid+492.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa786…44b9backed Yes2c2,162$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes2c2,100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.68010%8 W · 72 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb807…99cbbacked Yes3c2,001$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.02541.9%1 W · 53 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8701…efc0backed Yes5c1,900$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85f5…ada8backed Yes1c1,812$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes4c1,806$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.031431.4%2 W · 141 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-85.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb8f…c6e5backed Yes6c1,801$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6877…de8abacked Yes3c1,800$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.21513.3%2 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick7cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f60…4bd4backed Yes1c1,720$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151010%1 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+115.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes1c1,575$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.942420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1756…8c83backed Yes5c1,522$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5784…effebacked Yes2c1,461$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.92119.1%1 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid+53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab51…e02cbacked Yes1c1,434$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d79…8711backed Yes1c1,393$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a34…c226backed Yes2c1,291$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.693315.2%5 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73b0…6197backed Yes2c1,257$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+320%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaea…673cbacked Yes2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce7…f553backed Yes10c1,197$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.99825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-53.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb353…df38backed Yes7c1,193$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb85e…743fbacked Yes2c1,181$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.49812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick3cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44bb…3842backed Yes1c1,179$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf562…4099backed Yes3c1,176$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.71175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-89.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc7…3210backed Yes3c1,110$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a7…5049backed Yes5c1,058$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.722412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-73.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes4c1,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-73.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaec0…5a19backed Yes2c1,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243312.1%4 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-69.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ff…115cbacked Yes1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf65…ab32backed Yes2c1,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5849…a99ebacked Yes1c951.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29ec…c51cbacked Yes3c835.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2350%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf06…a211backed Yes2c805$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.04425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick5cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b57…3e87backed Yes1c799.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe43…3e8dbacked Yes2c700$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9200%0 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd824…89b4backed Yes2c696.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x518d…5a2cbacked Yes5c645.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-69.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd4…4115backed Yes2c606.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdd…dbb9backed Yes4c603.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2a…490dbacked Yes2c600$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77cf…4a81backed Yes2c599.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.290%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d62…42cabacked Yes2c556.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a3…4b2dbacked Yes5c543.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…5dd4backed Yes10c515.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-74%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Yes6c505.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc8…02b5backed Yes5c500.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…14f5backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes4c500$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1980%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae7c…58d5backed Yes5c479.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68f3…776cbacked Yes3c450$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes3c405$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46482.1%1 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick2cpaid-93.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed Yes7c334$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.047835.9%28 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43bd…0aa4backed Yes4c310.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12220%0 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041a…2dafbacked Yes4c310.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4232…4159backed Yes5c262.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12170%0 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x747b…f422backed Yes5c250$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.752152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87f0…aff5backed Yes8c237.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.961118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick7cpaid+128.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x083c…94e4backed Yes5c220$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.