TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $130 before 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$242,941
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$245,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,941 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes36c28,517$10,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,150.8435123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes42c13,724$5,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,939.7322216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes44c7,528$3,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,210.7518425%46 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed No68c6,679$4,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,557.7413863%87 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb5…a393backed No28c6,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65016761.7%103 W · 64 L+19.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No66c5,956$3,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,944.3929126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed No47c5,927$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,798.9658126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked No50c5,887$2,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,942.6355032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes39c5,161$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,127.6463835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes28c5,067$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.412824.2%31 W · 97 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3238…3291backed No79c4,730$3,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,753.61553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick71cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1307…bd75backed Yes26c3,888$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,877.51631.3%5 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick16cpaid+80%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes65c3,727$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9837745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes34c2,866$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.6625824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3974…0a37backed Yes71c2,823$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.64366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcde6…11d7backed No80c2,500$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.17875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No3c2,274$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.141,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No58c1,860$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.569041.1%37 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8c…ddecbacked No29c1,738$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500500%0 W · 50 L-9.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf252…8208backed No62c1,502$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…657fbacked No61c1,500$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.993240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes25c1,497$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.752055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3283…1da9backed No65c1,461$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-57.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes47c1,246$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.3832524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1da3…15c5backed Yes18c1,110$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+245.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x438d…8ef2backed No74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-54.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97a7…49f7backed No74c800$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5909546.3%44 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93d7…7423backed No19c721.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6234848.6%169 W · 179 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed No24c700$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1685837.9%22 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes45c645.68$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.336527.7%18 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed No62c587.99$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.1211658.6%68 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f66…e30fbacked No79c585$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+84.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e50…3de5backed Yes21c585$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+138.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a7c…69a7backed Yes21c585$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick31cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3514…28b5backed No79c585$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c61…6f9ebacked Yes19c577$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d3b…9902backed Yes20c568$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb528…54cbbacked Yes21c568$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x871c…fe3dbacked No80c568$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.440%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x42b4…4910backed No79c568$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+79%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d98…e5bcbacked Yes21c562$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0601…43ddbacked No79c562$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8996…b5ebbacked Yes21c562$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+222.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c77…e1d4backed No79c562$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d8c…d607backed No20c556.84$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9569…5633backed Yes19c555$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.553100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+252.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f5f…c128backed Yes19c555$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+179.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c6f…c79dbacked Yes18c533$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No15c514.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.651693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…5d71backed No59c510$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda72…69b3backed Yes22c430$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.4425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c1…0cd6backed No34c420$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfde…4006backed Yes59c340$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.33458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ae…f572backed Yes63c315.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.021060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x396e…de17backed No59c310$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.52857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e14…88b7backed No23c279.2$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d82…7d33backed No73c274.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed No47c250$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.517953.6%96 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes30c241.02$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.28659.2%6 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked No62c229$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8513053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccee…03e2backed Yes41c219.51$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.51837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77a0…8f62backed No22c213.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.041346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727327.4%20 W · 53 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5bd3…96a7backed No54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb960…b8a1backed No39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcc…12a6backed No77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16f0…aba5backed No71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1426543.1%28 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No30c194.59$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3811533%38 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes16c190$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.61488.8%13 W · 135 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336f…c31ebacked No23c189$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.474742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fe2…87c5backed No23c186$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.784759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f8…96afbacked No7c175.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-36%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5651…66a6backed No58c171.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006250%31 W · 31 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3c1b…20debacked Yes77c170.45$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.22050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No67c160$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.29054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ffb…3c0ebacked Yes41c159.8$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc7…8c0abacked Yes26c152.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.91338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa32c…c374backed No22c152.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.55825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.58540%34 W · 51 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc230…6192backed No39c149.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.68728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-63.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781b…addebacked No71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed Yes66c139.22$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3119439.2%76 W · 118 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7740…cbcdbacked No34c132.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.473339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4137…9d8dbacked Yes46c131.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.66540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3543…c63fbacked Yes80c130$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd576…ca8dbacked Yes48c130$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8477…f652backed No40c130$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.52045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f5e…1773backed No80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-47.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8072…ac05backed Yes18c124$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb95f…d5a6backed Yes18c124$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5348…7426backed Yes19c122$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+348.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd57b…539dbacked Yes18c122$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+177.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3213…dd1fbacked No28c121.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.63253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…5db3backed Yes20c121$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.83per pick18cpaid+483.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5b…c03dbacked Yes20c121$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick37cpaid+244.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca8…d05dbacked No80c121$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e4…0c6cbacked No80c121$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a2…57febacked No34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.84273.8%31 W · 11 L+13.6wins+0.32per pick41cpaid+109.3%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked No38c118.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4526274.4%195 W · 67 L+45.7wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+31.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xac70…55d2backed Yes19c118$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.