Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $200 before 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86fa5a0f2de7b1f8214511ca6296c4ee654da3bf9a07f2fbe981528ca0c800ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca75…657fbacked Yes | 67c | 9,999$6,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.19 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…9dafbacked No | 31c | 9,753$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.13 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 6,661$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24b…f263backed No | 25c | 3,985$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 75c | 3,847$2,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.02 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 30c | 3,058$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.76 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 20c | 2,434$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.23 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…7776backed No | 24c | 1,495$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.98 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 77c | 1,076$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.09 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 71c | 740$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.57 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…e808backed No | 27c | 727.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 26c | 600$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…321abacked No | 17c | 412.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 79c | 405$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…4e16backed Yes | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 78c | 110.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed No | 21c | 101$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…5245backed Yes | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…2ad4backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd278…0e08backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…2f35backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d9…d9aebacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…b1babacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940b…9290backed Yes | 66c | 19.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $200 before 2026?this page
- Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $130 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $140 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $240 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?No won
- Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?No won
- Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?No won
- Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.