Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Aster all time high by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81bdbfeb9aa17c7ef097559edc77bcc7079a93492ea68d1d77d149c095e58825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,036,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,112,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,036,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf57…77c7backed Yes | 2c | 182,592$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,401.2 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -78%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4589…113cbacked Yes | 23c | 40,536$9,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,346.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…2014backed Yes | 13c | 31,539$4,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,091.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 6c | 24,079$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…e816backed Yes | 7c | 21,286$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0b8bbacked Yes | 11c | 17,521$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…83a3backed Yes | 16c | 16,164$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…e746backed Yes | 7c | 13,253$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…b362backed Yes | 19c | 10,637$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380a…4741backed Yes | 19c | 9,660$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.23 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfef2…1470backed Yes | 21c | 8,511$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…b420backed Yes | 6c | 8,167$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed Yes | 5c | 7,649$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…f1cbbacked Yes | 16c | 7,605$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e2…5029backed No | 80c | 7,531$6,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…3d9dbacked Yes | 9c | 7,226$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 79c | 7,150$5,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.88 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb932…b97ebacked Yes | 1c | 7,089$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 15c | 7,078$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.32 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…d20ebacked No | 77c | 7,068$5,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…7042backed Yes | 15c | 7,037$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…93b4backed Yes | 4c | 6,200$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…346cbacked No | 68c | 6,075$4,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a10…c1b9backed Yes | 8c | 6,026$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…8529backed Yes | 22c | 5,660$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.72 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 17c | 5,574$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.7 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed No | 78c | 5,399$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 15c | 5,015$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.23 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…0776backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2737…8610backed Yes | 20c | 4,902$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae42…cd65backed No | 68c | 4,701$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b65…0d1dbacked Yes | 25c | 4,301$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 7c | 4,200$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.2 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…e37dbacked Yes | 15c | 3,933$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30e…ad60backed Yes | 6c | 3,792$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…d967backed Yes | 16c | 3,726$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…9427backed Yes | 12c | 3,723$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 10c | 3,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,464$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.29 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…1027backed Yes | 10c | 3,090$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes | 3c | 2,998$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,942$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…16f6backed Yes | 17c | 2,864$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9102…0819backed Yes | 22c | 2,827$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eec…c999backed Yes | 15c | 2,765$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe830…8bedbacked Yes | 19c | 2,699$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,686$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.31 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a5…8427backed No | 72c | 2,671$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…c226backed Yes | 15c | 2,424$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…4349backed Yes | 16c | 2,386$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0c…7923backed No | 79c | 2,365$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655a…daa7backed Yes | 11c | 2,336$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Yes | 22c | 2,333$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.57 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -8.6wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…9374backed Yes | 27c | 2,220$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 4c | 2,183$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf493…f4f6backed Yes | 10c | 2,116$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.69 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 2,082$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 8c | 2,075$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Yes | 8c | 2,017$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173f…69b0backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…8ae5backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 19c | 1,940$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.53 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…3f2cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,914$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,880$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49c…a486backed Yes | 24c | 1,865$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ca…ba03backed Yes | 57c | 1,865$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…fc10backed Yes | 4c | 1,834$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…c6cbbacked No | 74c | 1,800$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…79c7backed Yes | 11c | 1,797$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…1a1abacked Yes | 17c | 1,731$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd199…37a6backed Yes | 9c | 1,599$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…7e32backed No | 75c | 1,592$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…d1c2backed Yes | 6c | 1,545$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…9663backed Yes | 5c | 1,530$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 1,487$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,450$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…1e21backed Yes | 9c | 1,434$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed Yes | 18c | 1,419$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e48…a2cbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,408$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,408$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…5c6bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,370$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 14c | 1,360$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 1c | 1,356$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 78 | 1.3%1 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2777…aff5backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…939cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,258$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…a777backed No | 78c | 1,255$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3002…7d71backed No | 71c | 1,253$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…dabfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,239$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9440…a71cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,206$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,201$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e9…00e1backed Yes | 16c | 1,197$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…f422backed Yes | 19c | 1,143$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.67 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Yes | 18c | 1,100$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…da06backed Yes | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4491…ae0ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,068$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x527a…cd9dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,064$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…3fb5backed Yes | 2c | 1,059$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebad…f22bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,023$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f65…1679backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bb97backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.