TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x357f…1106

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+185.7%+$218.4
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$139.36
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$50.32
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$994.4
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.56
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+116.4%+$341.54
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.48
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.56
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$111.52
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.8
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$57.6
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.27
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$37.24
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$83.49
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$43.52
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$182.85
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$12.24
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$18
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+100%+$18
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$34
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.76
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$28.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$505.67
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.96
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$320.39
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-3.5)backed Qairat FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+100%+$12
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Páfos FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+104.1%+$12.24
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Olympiakós SFP vs. PSV: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+177.8%+$23.04
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.76
Spread: Tottenham (-1.5)backed Brentford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Spread: Manchester City (-2.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$46.24
Manchester City vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$61.2
Spread: Manchester City (-0.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$68
Spread: Nottingham Forest (-0.5)backed Leeds United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Spread: Aston Villa (-0.5)backed Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.61
Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$48.23
Everton vs. Fulham: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.48
Spread: West Ham (-0.5)backed West Ham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+96.1%+$17.64
Spread: Manchester United (-0.5)backed Tottenham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$13.68
Spread: Manchester City (-0.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$303.28
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+886.8%+$366.66
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+194.1%+$179.52
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$61.89
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$144
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.28
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$100.8
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,025Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+37.3%+$756.15
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.47
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+58.7%+$13.32
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$23.76
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$15.12
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 5 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-53.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+614.3%+$61.92
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$61
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+25%+$267.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$86.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$166.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid (-0.5)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.