Premier League · resolved market
Everton vs. Fulham: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd61ab8df9a21d61c17a313c18695eeb8f681c3562a7eae1122fd50dd365d641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 45c | 11,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 55c | 9,298$5,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225.34 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Under | 55c | 5,800$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.02 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 46c | 4,182$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.14 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 61c | 3,196$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.38 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 3,118$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.21 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 56c | 1,443$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.17 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 57c | 1,174$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.93 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…b3c3backed Over | 45c | 880.8$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Over | 37c | 732.96$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.34 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 39c | 712.89$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 55c | 665.99$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.02 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 60c | 588.39$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.07 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 45c | 466.67$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 36c | 436$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 35c | 360.15$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.57 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 56c | 207.57$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…ae28backed Under | 77c | 177$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 40c | 123.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc225…4e1ebacked Under | 61c | 113.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 55c | 94.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 41c | 48.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Under | 62c | 48.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 36c | 37.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…1106backed Under | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…82ddbacked Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb1…1109backed Under | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 58c | 23.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 65c | 18.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…446ebacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton vs. Fulham: O/U 2.5this page
- Everton vs. Fulham: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Everton (-0.5)Everton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.