Champions League · resolved market
Olympiakós SFP vs. PSV: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x625015361ab245e736c05e2681adacd26bafcfc8274a32658b7c9de05a9846b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 63c | 13,369$8,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,422.73 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 13,159$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,277.06 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 35c | 1,590$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.42 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 38c | 1,499$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.94 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 37c | 1,316$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 62c | 999$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.38 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…e4c8backed Over | 60c | 998.33$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…dbedbacked Over | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 65c | 479.72$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.49 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 66c | 457.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 61c | 425.3$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.09 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 34c | 361.48$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.67 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 38c | 285.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…b283backed Over | 66c | 192.42$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x924e…3fe8backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over | 67c | 152.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed Under | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 41c | 150$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…4b74backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 53c | 66.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 36c | 65.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…9fb5backed Over | 64c | 61.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8153…c439backed Over | 65c | 55.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…1106backed Under | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…e313backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…ba33backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Under | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb4…0872backed Over | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…e118backed Over | 65c | 21.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…5f39backed Over | 61c | 21.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb20a…044dbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…0d48backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympiakós SFP vs. PSV: O/U 2.5this page
- Olympiakós SFP vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-0.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.