Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Tottenham (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x009abd4adf1f2604e4cced78b37ee31bf940b57ac649891844277264535fb4ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tottenhamof Tottenham, Brentford
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Brentford | 67c | 8,000$5,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,360 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tottenham | 43c | 6,738$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,854.04 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Brentford | 25c | 2,079$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.89 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Tottenham | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.98 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…f034backed Tottenham | 20c | 956.17$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Tottenham | 19c | 508.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.61 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Tottenham | 19c | 500$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.46 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Tottenham | 19c | 205.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.61 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Tottenham | 19c | 182.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.71 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Tottenham | 20c | 137.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.3 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Tottenham | 20c | 110.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Tottenham | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Tottenham | 21c | 86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Tottenham | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Brentford | 79c | 56.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Tottenham | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…1106backed Brentford | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…9f18backed Tottenham | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Brentford | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Tottenham | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Tottenham | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Brentford | 80c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tottenham (-1.5)this page
- Tottenham vs. Brentford: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tottenham vs. Brentford: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tottenham vs. Brentford: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.