Tottenham vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x506302ea421de6006b471c964bf406f93c0d98a51f102242a3bd16fb5c813f10

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 6, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $63,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,127 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Over	49c	30,686$15,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,036.23	218	53.2%116 W · 102 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	51c	20,239$10,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,004.03	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	51c	8,000$4,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,920	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under	52c	5,417$2,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600.03	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+4.3wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+34%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7fe3…1654backed Under	51c	5,373$2,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,632.55	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9136…8e9dbacked Under	51c	5,294$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,594.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	50c	4,599$2,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,303.67	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	47c	3,233$1,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,523.69	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	49c	2,601$1,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,274.15	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x21ef…cecebacked Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over	56c	1,834$1,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Over	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	175	44%77 W · 98 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	49c	1,363$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.02	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	48c	1,328$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.29	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	50c	1,205$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.5	492	54.9%270 W · 222 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Under	52c	1,062$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.85	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	29c	1,052$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.36	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under	51c	1,010$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.6	219	65.3%143 W · 76 L	+20.8wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+19%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over	52c	700$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364	164	53.7%88 W · 76 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under	52c	692.31$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.31	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	73c	616.44$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under	51c	588$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.12	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	50c	500$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.73	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	103	43.7%45 W · 58 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	50c	342$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over	50c	311.66$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.6	370	36.2%134 W · 236 L	-18.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Over	53c	283.02$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd091…105bbacked Over	50c	230.8$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	27.7%13 W · 34 L	-7.1wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	198	26.3%52 W · 146 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	177	48%85 W · 92 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over	49c	165.56$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.34	401	50.1%201 W · 200 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under	38c	165.16$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.4	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over	62c	145.16$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over	50c	124$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	495	44.2%219 W · 276 L	-20.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	53c	119$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.36	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over	48c	110$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.81	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	50c	110$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	202	39.6%80 W · 122 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x844c…f5f0backed Under	47c	103.28$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.74	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a6…c0fabacked Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	-6.5wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over	49c	99.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.99	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over	57c	87.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	58c	86.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over	47c	80.85$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	130	54.6%71 W · 59 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf841…b5bebacked Over	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Over	51c	69.1$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	127	53.5%68 W · 59 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Over	61c	65.57$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Under	52c	65.55$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.46	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Under	52c	64$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.79	85	63.5%54 W · 31 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a92…5a5ebacked Over	49c	62.04$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e4…99eebacked Under	51c	44.63$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.87	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc3…f826backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	279	55.9%156 W · 123 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	83	62.7%52 W · 31 L	+5.7wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	101	54.5%55 W · 46 L	-9.6wins	-0.09per pick	64cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x725a…c06cbacked Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-4.4wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over	41c	36.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	92	31.5%29 W · 63 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe62d…dae3backed Over	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Over	57c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	46	82.6%38 W · 8 L	+9.4wins	+0.20per pick	62cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x18e5…260cbacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	172	55.2%95 W · 77 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6881…525dbacked Under	59c	28.8$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.81	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	47cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	46c	28.64$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.07	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	43c	28.37$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.27	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x855b…8dd0backed Over	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-3.9wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under	51c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	297	51.9%154 W · 143 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb658…af47backed Under	51c	21.9$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.73	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Under	48c	21.28$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.07	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	-7.3wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under	48c	21.02$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.01	305	54.8%167 W · 138 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…a05cbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fff…9d61backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	410	40.5%166 W · 244 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over	59c	18.64$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-4.2wins	-0.30per pick	52cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Tottenham vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Tottenham (-1.5)Tottenham won
Tottenham vs. Brentford: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Tottenham vs. Brentford: O/U 1.5Over won
Tottenham vs. Brentford: O/U 3.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Tottenham vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event