Champions League · resolved market
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc683811356865802532e513de77e9811ca2d9f9caa073f62e47366613e7df9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qairat FKof FC Internazionale Milano, Qairat FK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Internazionale Milano | 40c | 10,016$3,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,967.47 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Qairat FK | 47c | 3,999$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.66 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Qairat FK | 48c | 3,600$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.96 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Qairat FK | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.6 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed FC Internazionale Milano | 44c | 1,406$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.62 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…3009backed Qairat FK | 50c | 976.76$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb22…ce57backed FC Internazionale Milano | 50c | 542$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Qairat FK | 50c | 444$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…8dd9backed FC Internazionale Milano | 53c | 427.78$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Qairat FK | 63c | 399.7$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.58 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed FC Internazionale Milano | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed FC Internazionale Milano | 48c | 286.15$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Qairat FK | 52c | 285.5$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.04 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed FC Internazionale Milano | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…cc36backed FC Internazionale Milano | 50c | 201.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…7bc9backed FC Internazionale Milano | 50c | 201$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Qairat FK | 46c | 190.74$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…d923backed FC Internazionale Milano | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Qairat FK | 47c | 161.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Qairat FK | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7386…b839backed FC Internazionale Milano | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5962…2446backed FC Internazionale Milano | 51c | 143.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Qairat FK | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…2deebacked FC Internazionale Milano | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Qairat FK | 48c | 101.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Qairat FK | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked FC Internazionale Milano | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Qairat FK | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Qairat FK | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Qairat FK | 45c | 76.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked FC Internazionale Milano | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Qairat FK | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Qairat FK | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Qairat FK | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…9364backed Qairat FK | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed FC Internazionale Milano | 56c | 44.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed FC Internazionale Milano | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Qairat FK | 47c | 41.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Qairat FK | 50c | 41.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…0a95backed Qairat FK | 52c | 31.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…1106backed Qairat FK | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…a812backed FC Internazionale Milano | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-3.5)this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.