Champions League · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aa4301105e16e2e05df968ac9ec31245f970f4fe218fc39ae0ece04fcba520a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 2,688$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.1 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Under | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 47c | 1,000$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.96 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Under | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x341e…9b67backed Under | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 40c | 554.35$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Under | 60c | 501.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 39c | 432.39$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.7 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Under | 61c | 329.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked Under | 73c | 273.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Under | 58c | 256.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Under | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Under | 54c | 189.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 42c | 155.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 54c | 149.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Under | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Over | 11c | 112.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…baefbacked Over | 46c | 107.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 41c | 106.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…2deebacked Over | 44c | 106.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Under | 66c | 105$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…3f03backed Under | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Under | 55c | 99.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Over | 40c | 69.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 46c | 58.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Under | 60c | 41.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…a488backed Over | 45c | 41.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd510…0be5backed Under | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…6412backed Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Under | 57c | 26.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Over | 46c | 26.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 58c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…e45abacked Under | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-3.5)Qairat FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.