TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chelseaof Chelsea, Wolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,613
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,613 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Wolves54c14,092$7,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,611.8921853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Chelsea46c9,462$4,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,107.0620039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Wolves54c2,559$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.5635758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wolves57c2,262$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.528736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Wolves53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Wolves55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Wolves46c1,556$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.0637036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Chelsea43c1,457$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.3661441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Chelsea43c1,384$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.7315347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wolves56c1,138$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.496,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18a2…695fbacked Chelsea46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Chelsea47c1,066$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.71963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Chelsea46c835$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.918433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Wolves53c759.53$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.51,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Wolves65c750$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48528246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Chelsea46c680$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.230050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Chelsea46c647.02$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.3927955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Chelsea46c642.08$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.212556%14 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Wolves53c637.35$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.7930851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Chelsea46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.485841.4%24 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Chelsea46c504$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.1612753.5%68 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Chelsea46c481.67$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.123926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed Chelsea48c481$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.169359.1%55 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Wolves54c480.95$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.7142048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa429…792bbacked Chelsea46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.783948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e1…82a6backed Chelsea46c427.16$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Chelsea26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2962737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Chelsea46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2164129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c13…ee33backed Chelsea33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2681080%8 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+98.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5c89…36aebacked Chelsea37c387.75$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.21560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Chelsea46c371.74$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7424044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75f…2687backed Chelsea45c343.2$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.761729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Chelsea45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1654658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Chelsea47c253.43$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.328237.8%31 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Chelsea46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1359749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Chelsea46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Chelsea46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3919426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c8b…b3c3backed Chelsea48c216$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.32728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac71…d8cabacked Chelsea47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Chelsea47c207.57$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0137840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8309…62b1backed Chelsea49c204.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wolves55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11021656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Wolves54c195.12$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3620150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Chelsea45c165$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.753161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d80…a151backed Chelsea47c143.91$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f10…8ac6backed Chelsea47c142.13$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.331050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Chelsea35c140$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918632.6%28 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…bb4abacked Chelsea47c135.54$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.843941%16 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Chelsea63c134.41$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3419128.8%55 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb9b…d718backed Chelsea45c133.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.335100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Chelsea47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.668743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2a84backed Chelsea47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.66837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb500…1363backed Wolves61c117.02$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Chelsea32c113.03$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.535745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e50…7a6bbacked Chelsea47c109.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9612948.1%62 W · 67 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Chelsea46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.75234.6%18 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Chelsea46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.79736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Chelsea46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.78927%24 W · 65 L-11.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Chelsea46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.711736.8%43 W · 74 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Wolves55c105$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.758740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Chelsea47c100.42$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2223435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Chelsea50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012250%61 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05bb…8ef9backed Chelsea50c99.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.873948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Chelsea37c91.66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.743444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed Chelsea46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.83348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9bee…aa9ebacked Chelsea44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6410…0751backed Chelsea31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12dd…1aacbacked Wolves55c63.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a90…e630backed Chelsea47c55.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.322536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Chelsea46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3512342.3%52 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Chelsea47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.192853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Chelsea47c51.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.064151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Chelsea47c50.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9314643.2%63 W · 83 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked Wolves54c49.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+50%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Chelsea44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4515949.7%79 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced0…c680backed Chelsea45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.443148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed Chelsea48c41.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.651040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd480…799ebacked Chelsea49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.48045%36 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc995…25c2backed Chelsea33c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.82035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd462…798ebacked Chelsea50c36.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…2f76backed Wolves55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x357f…1106backed Wolves55c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Chelsea46c34.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.585339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f6a…e40fbacked Chelsea50c33.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0deb…a528backed Chelsea50c33.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Chelsea46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.615145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d93…f5b9backed Chelsea50c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Wolves58c30.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8625949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ba…fc24backed Chelsea46c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8906…b671backed Wolves50c27.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc3…f826backed Wolves56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x892b…a7dcbacked Wolves50c25.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdb…44b9backed Chelsea50c24.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cda…fc01backed Wolves50c23.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e7b…6739backed Wolves50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd40…d39cbacked Wolves50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d3…9e3dbacked Chelsea49c21.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.75580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+44.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Wolves55c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.458048.8%39 W · 41 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Wolves54c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2657744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1d…1767backed Chelsea79c18.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.851471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.