Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea vs. Wolves: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc8fad41baea2230cc2668cae758f20f2b038cd228011958894fe186fd7fe64f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 29c | 2,193$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.88 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 68c | 946.56$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.55 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 852.09$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.57 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 76c | 632.32$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.88 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 622.83$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.75 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked No | 75c | 398.8$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Yes | 49c | 147.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a4…554abacked Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52c2…4f61backed No | 55c | 106.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 45c | 106.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…e630backed Yes | 15c | 100.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 53c | 96.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 17c | 81.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 47c | 71.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaeb…0512backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…a0b8backed No | 51c | 53.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 54c | 51.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Yes | 53c | 38.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 46c | 33.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…fd94backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf6…9767backed Yes | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Yes | 50c | 20.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea vs. Wolves: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Chelsea vs. Wolves: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)Chelsea won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.