TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea vs. Wolves: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,744 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0cb6…3009backed Under40c10,345$4,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,137.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Under38c8,871$3,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,346.6835758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under39c8,759$3,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,424.5537036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over62c7,991$4,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.099946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over61c7,579$4,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,970.923441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c6,923$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.186,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under43c4,528$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.224252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over62c3,082$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.222755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cc…9f53backed Under1c2,943$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Over62c2,600$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98820246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Over59c2,209$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.144748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over55c2,000$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.495754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Over61c1,515$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.8920039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under38c1,295$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.9324846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over58c1,291$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.7116453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over60c1,283$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.5323926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under38c1,112$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.5349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under39c999.58$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.3129427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under39c897$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8324566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5718…0756backed Under40c681.08$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.4330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fb5…cdb0backed Over59c646.19$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.94875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Under42c623.3$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.795632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb967…65edbacked Under76c587$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.371566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under41c529.96$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.2841437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Over63c380.95$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.953455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over38c359.63$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.4615347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed Over30c355.45$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.912516%4 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-61.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Over63c345.31$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.134961.2%30 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2b…109abacked Under61c317.4$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Over62c292.5$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1125848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over39c274.49$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.987737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Over61c261.37$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.372556%14 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Over47c255.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.321540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Over58c249.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1053935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd509…b06abacked Under42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under38c235.81$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7220150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a51…f9c0backed Under40c225$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c8b…b3c3backed Over40c216.24$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aad…4741backed Over61c205.41$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under39c199.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9921656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Under51c197.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d7…2d86backed Under42c178.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc88…a949backed Over62c177.62$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.937136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e0…7302backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a3…d89bbacked Over40c159.98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over42c151.02$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.891,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under42c150$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.58740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Under41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.55442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Under73c145.91$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.512737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under39c136.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.991,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…a408backed Over61c131.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.153348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1af…43d7backed Over62c120.87$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.933655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Over58c118.43$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.741163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under44c110.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4925949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x634b…363bbacked Over49c101.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Under39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Under39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Under52c99.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over57c91$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Under37c88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.565347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7514252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over61c84.24$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2442862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1ab…2798backed Over60c84.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.61850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b2…3886backed Over62c80.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.82850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab9…1437backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.653060%18 W · 12 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+34.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Over59c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.88632.6%28 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a2…e265backed Over49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.432268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31a3…0f0bbacked Over57c70.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.141050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb4…0872backed Over61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6710252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2149…3a74backed Over61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.571080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+78.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cb3…6344backed Over59c62.71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe172…274ebacked Under39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69dc…336dbacked Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over62c49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6239561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca15…efd4backed Under42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under40c44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3837554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34b7…36e8backed Over27c40.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.745525.5%14 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0fa…fe94backed Over62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Under41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45149%25 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Over61c37.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.74151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f5…6df5backed Under40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under39c37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6132357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cda…fc01backed Under50c36.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over57c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.626943.5%30 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-24.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x725a…c06cbacked Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecd8…c2e3backed Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.336955.1%38 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x855b…8dd0backed Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcda3…e313backed Over60c33.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-66.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.798259.8%49 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Over43c32.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3225545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2610242.2%43 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over60c31.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6715866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb46…5d1bbacked Under42c30.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea42…cab7backed Under66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d7…8b82backed Over45c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+55%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.