Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester United (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a7b1b5c9ba86cf1f5e8c084c08089a033a4aa3f3568ac7ffdf7e92e92cfefb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tottenhamof Manchester United, Tottenham
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manchester United | 41c | 18,041$7,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,307.37 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Tottenham | 61c | 17,927$10,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,992.73 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Manchester United | 40c | 2,919$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.52 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Tottenham | 64c | 1,666$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…0722backed Manchester United | 40c | 1,274$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc80e…41c8backed Manchester United | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Manchester United | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Tottenham | 61c | 866.83$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.06 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5b…8411backed Tottenham | 61c | 850$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb391…8939backed Tottenham | 62c | 748$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Tottenham | 60c | 742.96$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.18 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Tottenham | 62c | 658.06$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.06 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Manchester United | 38c | 655.66$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.15 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Tottenham | 33c | 609.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.03 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Tottenham | 60c | 586.28$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.66 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…5d74backed Manchester United | 40c | 501.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Manchester United | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Manchester United | 37c | 499.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Tottenham | 34c | 499.55$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Tottenham | 65c | 462.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…0fc2backed Tottenham | 62c | 435.65$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…6bffbacked Manchester United | 39c | 410$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…7395backed Tottenham | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…7680backed Tottenham | 62c | 350$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea54…8dadbacked Manchester United | 39c | 340$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ed…d3e9backed Manchester United | 39c | 330$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Manchester United | 56c | 299.74$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.68 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tottenham | 35c | 288.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.37 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Tottenham | 38c | 275.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Tottenham | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Tottenham | 39c | 255.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.88 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…de93backed Manchester United | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Manchester United | 27c | 242.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Manchester United | 45c | 165.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Tottenham | 62c | 165$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Tottenham | 62c | 162.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…0632backed Tottenham | 66c | 146.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbc…b007backed Manchester United | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…6505backed Manchester United | 38c | 102.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…bc1ebacked Tottenham | 62c | 102$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Manchester United | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d0…87f3backed Tottenham | 62c | 72.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Manchester United | 38c | 65.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Tottenham | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Tottenham | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…2ca4backed Manchester United | 39c | 62.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…4d9abacked Tottenham | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc2…f2e8backed Manchester United | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 79cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…be19backed Tottenham | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…15fabacked Tottenham | 64c | 45.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb531…b230backed Tottenham | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…f6c1backed Tottenham | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d6…851dbacked Manchester United | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…1106backed Tottenham | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…f12fbacked Tottenham | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…21bdbacked Tottenham | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…f5dabacked Manchester United | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…20c0backed Tottenham | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7083…9165backed Manchester United | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…4fb5backed Tottenham | 62c | 22.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c9…4940backed Tottenham | 63c | 17.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b30…2209backed Tottenham | 64c | 16.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…9a5cbacked Tottenham | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester United (-0.5)this page
- Tottenham vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tottenham vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.