TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Tottenham vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,596
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,138

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,596 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf519…906bbacked Under65c6,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.9738649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c5,227$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,487.026,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over35c3,669$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,396.0937036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Under66c2,999$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.594746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x922d…d82bbacked Under9c2,156$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e8…1765backed Under64c2,034$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ae…82aabacked Over37c2,031$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+126%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under63c1,600$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00845936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd945…5962backed Over36c1,478$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+176.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bd…270cbacked Over37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.35933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under64c1,155$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.8349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Under65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-49%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under64c856.01$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Over36c696.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.2918433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Over38c672$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.647436.5%27 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Under64c624.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.794060%24 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under68c618.96$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.6421548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Over79c594.22$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4928355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over35c588.57$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.575625%14 W · 42 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under67c585.78$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.8517544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Over38c522.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.64728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Over34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33010751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over35c419.21$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.111,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea3…9642backed Under71c400$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2842556%14 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over29c385.97$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.237737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Over37c374$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.1920039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ee…5800backed Under64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over35c306.42$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9220150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c69…c149backed Under64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Over34c294.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.091963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Over36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.782055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over37c268.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9512639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1288740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Over35c190$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.53360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Over37c189.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.194151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over22c177.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3827955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc794…d09cbacked Over36c168.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.531546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over37c159.32$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.379958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68db…ee32backed Under65c154.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd509…b06abacked Under66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Under67c150.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.861163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5040…96cfbacked Over36c139$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Under64c125.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over36c123.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.223435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Over35c121.34$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.875952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over36c114.68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6842862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1ab…2798backed Over33c106.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.06850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…b610backed Over38c104.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba6b…62b4backed Under66c101.64$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Under64c101.53$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.985754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Under66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638632.6%28 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2179…1f88backed Under66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Under63c99.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.993842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Under61c89.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.835758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc343…76cbbacked Over37c88$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.722240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Over33c87.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.925347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over34c87.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0525949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4628…d573backed Over37c85.07$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Over36c84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.761323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Under65c78.78$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2140046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Under64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507755.8%43 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x455f…bd63backed Under66c75.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Under66c75.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012250%61 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d3…d153backed Under64c75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Over35c71.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6114643.2%63 W · 83 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac36…08dabacked Over28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over35c69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8539561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Under62c60.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6713656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59ca…fd12backed Over35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.143554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xced0…c680backed Over35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.143148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d26…10d3backed Over36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+51.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7d…5b5abacked Over36c54.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.86875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+94.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb841…d81fbacked Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4814…a24abacked Under63c53.12$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.62366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc225…4e1ebacked Under72c53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.16944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa02…600cbacked Under64c51.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+41.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7fc2…f2e8backed Under79c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.7wins-0.45per pick79cpaid-57.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb61…bd7fbacked Under64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Under71c39.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.121963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Under64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512446%57 W · 67 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Over36c33.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.337751.9%40 W · 37 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9cb…6943backed Under64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…f90dbacked Under64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4e…20c0backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcda3…e313backed Under66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-66.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbe6…c7a1backed Under66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.56564.6%42 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d06…9e73backed Under65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Under66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512342.3%52 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4540…4fb5backed Under65c21.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.982080%16 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+41.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x42a0…3762backed Under65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.9wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-43.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.216060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Under63c19.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.59825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8760…f4e7backed Under65c16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb757…aaa2backed Under64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.