La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Madrid (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91596df2b74b9bfcd46f2525f70a66fb47bd33014ec45d9cec3debed659c34d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Real Madrid, Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Real Madrid | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Real Madrid | 51c | 6,332$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.1 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Barcelona | 48c | 5,115$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Barcelona | 48c | 4,370$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.6 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Real Madrid | 63c | 4,296$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.56 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2c15backed Real Madrid | 53c | 3,776$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Barcelona | 47c | 3,571$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.55 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Barcelona | 49c | 2,218$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.63 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Barcelona | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Barcelona | 35c | 1,536$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5295…d666backed Barcelona | 36c | 1,320$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Real Madrid | 50c | 1,127$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Barcelona | 52c | 1,000$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Barcelona | 49c | 999.94$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Barcelona | 49c | 490.16$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.28 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d41…fa71backed Barcelona | 50c | 434.84$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1c…dd56backed Barcelona | 46c | 430.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…1abcbacked Barcelona | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…dbf6backed Real Madrid | 68c | 336.08$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…09b7backed Barcelona | 32c | 320$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Real Madrid | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…4c95backed Real Madrid | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…b7bebacked Barcelona | 33c | 263.73$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Barcelona | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Barcelona | 54c | 222$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Barcelona | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Barcelona | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…433dbacked Barcelona | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ee…15cbbacked Barcelona | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cb…e2e0backed Barcelona | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Real Madrid | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x704c…de8abacked Real Madrid | 53c | 189.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Barcelona | 50c | 189.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52af…7d46backed Real Madrid | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Barcelona | 49c | 108$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2050…5d38backed Real Madrid | 52c | 100.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc62…a415backed Barcelona | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Barcelona | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Real Madrid | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1ab1backed Real Madrid | 77c | 98.66$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…f6c1backed Barcelona | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…bb17backed Real Madrid | 68c | 87.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Barcelona | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29e7…19a3backed Barcelona | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…3579backed Barcelona | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…47ebbacked Barcelona | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…3a0abacked Barcelona | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b43…f2c3backed Real Madrid | 50c | 59.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…c2dabacked Barcelona | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…d5e2backed Barcelona | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Barcelona | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…5f6bbacked Barcelona | 49c | 49.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…1106backed Barcelona | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Barcelona | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5107…4106backed Barcelona | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d98…98aebacked Real Madrid | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…45bbbacked Real Madrid | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Barcelona | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…56dcbacked Real Madrid | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba20…0715backed Barcelona | 49c | 24.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…a9adbacked Barcelona | 50c | 21.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Real Madrid | 65c | 15.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Madrid (-0.5)this page
- Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.