TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,335 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Under44c64,383$28,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,054.432035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c55,118$30,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,829.474,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc10…3f05backed Under44c20,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,199.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over56c14,769$8,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,295.894942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Over56c7,951$4,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,452.36650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Under43c5,350$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,062.7127453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over56c4,437$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.499743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over55c3,500$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.986546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Under45c3,363$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.241060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Under44c2,241$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.969459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20e1…d623backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+157.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07dc…aefabacked Under45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked Over56c1,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Over56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked Under50c1,615$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.9333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over56c1,101$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.428055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Under44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under44c903.83$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.148957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d5a…1427backed Over57c880$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.63020%6 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under9c858.06$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.593557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under43c817.79$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.3814645.2%66 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under44c666$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.969542.1%40 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over55c621.41$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.779052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef85…43e6backed Over56c617.12$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf32…aecbbacked Under36c615.07$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…62efbacked Under41c599.75$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over58c545.33$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.8111049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d6…cfb9backed Over56c534.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under39c509.33$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.5955941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over51c500.02$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.0114244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Under54c475$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7437…e1e9backed Under24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3764…e02abacked Under20c346.23$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+131.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Over55c334.75$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.11425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over56c329.5$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Over57c318$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x495f…06b0backed Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9c2…2cfbbacked Over67c300$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Under43c272.22$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.052458.3%14 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Over56c266.93$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.483345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b12…30d8backed Over57c260$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.21968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+30.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58c6…e857backed Under77c250$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb939…ed05backed Over56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401275%9 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked Over56c222.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ed…6879backed Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over55c216.89$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2920945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over70c213.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Under43c207.53$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.293455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11220255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…a408backed Over58c195.26$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.251553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…b676backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80b6…ebb8backed Over55c179.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b46…4f6ebacked Over57c175.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over56c173$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.889557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160c…0d98backed Over56c172.48$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over42c171.46$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0110634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over56c169$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6410063%63 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Under15c168.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+229.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661c…3b7bbacked Over48c166.92$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9f…578abacked Under32c164.33$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1252…da0bbacked Under19c155$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+72.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc3…f826backed Over65c154.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.52142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Over56c142.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Over57c136.2$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under44c133.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7518650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa14…ebb0backed Under44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.645100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Under45c110.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Over50c110.38$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1717155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef1a…a5e4backed Over59c110.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4063…0c2bbacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576246.8%29 W · 33 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x543c…edabbacked Under23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick23cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ff…fa1bbacked Under10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905100%5 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+335.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x65d3…d153backed Over52c99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.481241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9981…2d71backed Over58c94.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Under46c93.48$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.48366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf66…3422backed Over57c87.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Under46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e1…2ee8backed Over59c85.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfccf…47eebacked Over57c84.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Under45c75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.252245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Under43c69.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1c…2bccbacked Over56c68.13$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.15650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Over54c67.79$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.612748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481e…b1e4backed Under60c67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x352a…ff24backed Over58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd002…2ee8backed Over58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.83663.9%23 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…d27fbacked Over59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4cc…4c95backed Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Under45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.56850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd22…7025backed Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304953.1%26 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79fb…1c75backed Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15a9…6b43backed Under45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.