TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Anyone's Legendof Anyone's Legend, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,416,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,607,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,416,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 742 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe68b…8a19backed Anyone's Legend50c222,539$111,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,269.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x34a3…ca18backed T10c99,270$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.27742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd964…83c0backed T10c80,289$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.29425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed T150c74,335$37,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,167.372133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a21…d307backed T162c60,000$37,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,373.09862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed T150c51,230$25,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,402.537839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Anyone's Legend50c50,000$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed T144c35,818$15,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,638.124854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed T150c25,975$12,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,988.2325446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5735…f1f7backed T146c23,069$10,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,611.611118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Anyone's Legend41c19,273$7,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,429.5912132.2%39 W · 82 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked Anyone's Legend71c18,088$12,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,171.453959%23 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed T136c16,782$6,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,105.6314425%36 W · 108 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c2…26aabacked Anyone's Legend51c16,616$8,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,141.962544%11 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd1…8cadbacked T151c16,507$8,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,351.962441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Anyone's Legend42c15,000$6,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,689.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9755…eab0backed T152c14,431$7,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,498.934753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x697f…8705backed Anyone's Legend31c13,467$4,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,280.091656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed T11c13,000$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7117410.9%19 W · 155 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ee…1391backed Anyone's Legend45c12,873$5,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,143.479149.5%45 W · 46 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Anyone's Legend68c12,159$8,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,918.8581143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e22…3993backed T111c12,053$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.423935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5077…badcbacked Anyone's Legend47c11,838$5,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,249.41770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+59.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Anyone's Legend53c11,394$6,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,342.7818340.4%74 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked T145c11,053$4,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,991.1766437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed T150c10,400$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2001861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc10…3f05backed T149c10,047$4,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,922.21376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed T144c9,184$4,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,012.865957.6%34 W · 25 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ef7…15c6backed T153c8,627$4,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,579.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63dd…247abacked T151c8,019$4,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,119.58922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9e0…5a66backed Anyone's Legend50c7,961$3,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,981.311163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Anyone's Legend64c7,747$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.8444550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9078…fb78backed T130c7,166$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.545040%20 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed T159c6,927$4,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,055.441030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed T150c6,600$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed T165c6,190$4,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,019.28655.8%48 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ca…18afbacked Anyone's Legend50c6,004$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.061625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d8a…b7debacked T13c5,345$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed Anyone's Legend39c5,115$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,136.552630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked T148c5,000$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4102544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked T11c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506732.8%22 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Anyone's Legend51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45054353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked T150c4,555$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.541752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cba…93d7backed T151c4,444$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.436467.2%43 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d0…0d9bbacked T150c4,200$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Anyone's Legend45c4,198$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.2235448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed T150c4,000$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9901,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5593…6eb9backed T131c3,612$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.14537.8%17 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Anyone's Legend51c3,600$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.972638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked Anyone's Legend49c3,567$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.5611037.3%41 W · 69 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1490…9cb2backed Anyone's Legend50c3,486$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb506…e6b3backed T157c3,359$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.81338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…c8dcbacked T144c3,310$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.82236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Anyone's Legend42c3,254$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.8331644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f3…e7a7backed T148c3,233$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa96…5859backed Anyone's Legend52c3,233$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x756a…a8d3backed Anyone's Legend51c3,217$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd295…c253backed T149c3,217$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac05…cdc5backed T123c3,160$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.832528%7 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f07…743bbacked T15c3,139$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.131936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10bd…270bbacked T174c3,108$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3003839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17fe…fa4fbacked Anyone's Legend33c3,063$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.172740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x260a…dbf6backed Anyone's Legend53c3,050$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc7…2d6dbacked T147c3,050$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf596…7745backed Anyone's Legend74c3,047$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.983461.8%21 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed T112c3,001$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.0120035%70 W · 130 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf1d…03d8backed T148c3,001$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dfe…a8eabacked Anyone's Legend52c3,001$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed T150c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked T150c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca1…0979backed T150c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe84c…d40cbacked T170c3,000$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.195166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbd9…01c4backed Anyone's Legend47c3,000$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+91%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2a…267ebacked T150c2,979$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.513455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41bc…c75bbacked Anyone's Legend52c2,970$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.521361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Anyone's Legend46c2,953$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.6594134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9900…a19bbacked T148c2,890$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ac…4abebacked Anyone's Legend52c2,890$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked T153c2,863$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.789160.4%55 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f88…ffc2backed T149c2,823$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd3…2013backed Anyone's Legend51c2,823$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked Anyone's Legend42c2,757$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.341258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed T150c2,755$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.51,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd342…95fcbacked Anyone's Legend50c2,751$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.49825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1ff…01d0backed T145c2,750$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.983554.3%19 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed Anyone's Legend50c2,747$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.3225269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd129…901cbacked Anyone's Legend49c2,681$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.623145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6812…6646backed T153c2,668$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4143754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Anyone's Legend52c2,500$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.973,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4da1…f3c5backed T140c2,489$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.961533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Anyone's Legend54c2,480$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.3851160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed T154c2,410$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.0626942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked T143c2,366$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.516538.5%25 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked T157c2,362$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.8621549.3%106 W · 109 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed T122c2,294$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5106936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed T143c2,290$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.4641743.9%183 W · 234 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed T149c2,221$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.2836433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1739…96a1backed Anyone's Legend75c2,164$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a0…d7a5backed T111c2,140$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.469252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250b…9cb5backed T149c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008142%34 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.