CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ade842602d4839f83929bb4245ca2c05eb1a6cd05103c48f36f07e5fe08efd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $454,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $470,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 18,885$10,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,022.68 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed TheMongolz | 31c | 16,012$4,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,024.08 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 13,100$6,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,950.09 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 11,652$8,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,448.16 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 11,530$6,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959.5 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 11,386$8,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,253.98 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 8,541$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.13 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed TheMongolz | 28c | 7,972$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,766.8 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked TheMongolz | 28c | 7,900$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,687.98 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed TheMongolz | 30c | 6,827$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,778.74 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TheMongolz | 63c | 6,511$4,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.56 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 6,115$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.87 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed TheMongolz | 56c | 6,043$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.16 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz | 56c | 5,289$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.99 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked TheMongolz | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.99 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed TheMongolz | 60c | 4,488$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.06 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 4,449$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.18 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 4,232$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.08 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 4,080$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.48 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked TheMongolz | 30c | 3,750$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.86 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,997$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,952$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.33 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…bcb6backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 2,938$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.22 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked TheMongolz | 43c | 2,936$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.23 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 2,368$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.47 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TheMongolz | 61c | 2,345$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.07 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 2,322$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.53 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 2,294$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.37 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 2,169$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.2 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked TheMongolz | 56c | 2,121$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.17 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed TheMongolz | 28c | 1,795$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.4 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,795$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed TheMongolz | 28c | 1,789$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.06 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…798fbacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 1,630$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.96 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,619$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.26 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,526$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.55 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,500$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…ff64backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 1,468$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.37 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,399$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.62 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,396$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.32 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,390$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.22 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,215$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.44 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.99 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,175$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.48 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,131$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.92 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked TheMongolz | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…8897backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,088$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,077$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.34 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…1e3abacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,016$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 1,016$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.82 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 1,004$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.73 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…0adcbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 968.81$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.97 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked TheMongolz | 33c | 926.44$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.14 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked TheMongolz | 28c | 917$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.24 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 900$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked TheMongolz | 30c | 870$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…a700backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 840$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.8 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 799.99$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.99 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed TheMongolz | 28c | 759$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.48 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 750$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked TheMongolz | 41c | 722.06$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.04 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed TheMongolz | 28c | 697$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.84 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TheMongolz | 41c | 695.54$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.37 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed TheMongolz | 37c | 677.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.24 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 640$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.8 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…b7b5backed TheMongolz | 29c | 630.07$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.35 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…8453backed TheMongolz | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TheMongolz | 48c | 595.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.83 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 564.5$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.73 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 562.23$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 558.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -4.1wins | -0.45per pick | 67cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8820…0118backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 541.71$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2f…ff10backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 527.9$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 525$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.75 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 521.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 519.07$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.08 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 501.91$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 500$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.45 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.1 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz | 38c | 488$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.23 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…a94cbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 460.15$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 455$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.57 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 440.14$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…c640backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 427.61$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.85 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 408.44$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.16 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TheMongolz | 29c | 401.46$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.03 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed TheMongolz | 44c | 380.14$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed TheMongolz | 33c | 377.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.97 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8080…8a7ebacked TheMongolz | 28c | 363.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.07 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…413fbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 360.02$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.26 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 352.59$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.25 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…9035backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 350$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group DNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.