CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x937c8c8ee54acba926bcb5dddfc9d08d2bb8a99a29b8cee8e30b4927a6175b61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof Natus Vincere, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf559…f462backed TheMongolz | 57c | 21,053$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,052.63 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed TheMongolz | 54c | 19,749$10,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,084.45 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked TheMongolz | 56c | 14,220$7,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,256.82 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed TheMongolz | 25c | 11,652$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,739 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 10,302$4,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,595.96 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 9,999$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.57 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed TheMongolz | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 4,308$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.36 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked TheMongolz | 54c | 3,475$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed TheMongolz | 55c | 3,457$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.66 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed TheMongolz | 62c | 3,165$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.7 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7819…bdb0backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,635$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,532$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.82 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked TheMongolz | 46c | 1,930$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.85 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,514$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,432$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,293$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.55 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,223$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz | 56c | 1,111$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.84 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed TheMongolz | 58c | 1,100$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed TheMongolz | 55c | 1,036$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.36 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,035$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.4 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.9 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 920.04$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.62 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 909.09$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.09 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.95 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed TheMongolz | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed TheMongolz | 57c | 799.98$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.99 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 751$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.93 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed TheMongolz | 6c | 743.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.72 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 731.74$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.51 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked TheMongolz | 6c | 690.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.97 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 550$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed TheMongolz | 58c | 550$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…9035backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 490$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.55 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed TheMongolz | 57c | 485.4$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.72 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked TheMongolz | 28c | 478.2$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.12 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 466.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.4 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked TheMongolz | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed TheMongolz | 57c | 421.05$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed TheMongolz | 29c | 415.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 389.47$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed TheMongolz | 62c | 366.83$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.72 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…644ebacked TheMongolz | 55c | 351.38$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TheMongolz | 60c | 339.57$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 333$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed TheMongolz | 57c | 300.96$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.41 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 299.26$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 264.69$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 389 | 45.8%178 W · 211 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 264$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 256$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…8bc9backed TheMongolz | 57c | 252$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed TheMongolz | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 222.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 222$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 200.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 181.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed TheMongolz | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed TheMongolz | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed TheMongolz | 57c | 175.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 170.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7955…ce08backed TheMongolz | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked TheMongolz | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 150.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked TheMongolz | 55c | 144.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed TheMongolz | 61c | 135.92$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed TheMongolz | 57c | 132.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…2e55backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 128.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 123.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…6e3bbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2c…f0d6backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 112.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked TheMongolz | 56c | 103.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed TheMongolz | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…1c86backed TheMongolz | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…5addbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 96.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc06…7f72backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 89.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group DNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.