CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91e3ded6059ae29474944fab71f87938656144a4709f6ecdc01bec3c183737c6

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Natus Vincereof TheMongolz, Natus Vincere
Resolved: Aug 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $213,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $233,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,664 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TheMongolz	36c	15,939$5,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,728.49	1,723	46.8%807 W · 916 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere	64c	15,000$9,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,400	215	48.4%104 W · 111 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed TheMongolz	53c	5,755$3,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,043.32	91	63.7%58 W · 33 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed TheMongolz	33c	4,465$1,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,453.86	437	64.3%281 W · 156 L	+51.5wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed TheMongolz	35c	3,840$1,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,332.89	194	68.6%133 W · 61 L	+25.9wins	+0.13per pick	55cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked TheMongolz	37c	2,917$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080.35	531	35%186 W · 345 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz	26c	2,772$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.51	878	47.9%421 W · 457 L	+16.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TheMongolz	21c	2,227$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.12	1,263	46.9%592 W · 671 L	+18.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked TheMongolz	36c	1,950$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.99	244	38.9%95 W · 149 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61a8…1ad4backed TheMongolz	46c	1,770$814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.1	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ef…b406backed Natus Vincere	63c	1,743$1,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.8	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Natus Vincere	65c	1,678$1,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.45	465	65.6%305 W · 160 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bcd…2051backed Natus Vincere	64c	1,570$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.55	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked TheMongolz	32c	1,257$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.71	3,544	29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L	-289.1wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere	63c	1,218$767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.28	5,095	55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L	+119.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Natus Vincere	63c	1,119$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.76	1,523	51.5%785 W · 738 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed TheMongolz	47c	1,057$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	286	37.8%108 W · 178 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere	63c	1,049$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.14	2,645	51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L	+21.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Natus Vincere	50c	1,012$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.76	171	49.1%84 W · 87 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc865…2f6ebacked TheMongolz	36c	972.99$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.27	59	27.1%16 W · 43 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Natus Vincere	58c	965.77$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.55	168	42.9%72 W · 96 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b2f…ff10backed TheMongolz	55c	926.16$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.45	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked Natus Vincere	56c	898.64$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.64	368	47.6%175 W · 193 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Natus Vincere	76c	888.68$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.98	400	70.8%283 W · 117 L	+39.1wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Natus Vincere	65c	846.71$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.71	201	61.7%124 W · 77 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere	64c	775.81$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.29	608	48%292 W · 316 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed Natus Vincere	52c	759.97$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.99	124	53.2%66 W · 58 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Natus Vincere	64c	757.03$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.53	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked TheMongolz	55c	716.06$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.39	175	46.9%82 W · 93 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c2…1e3abacked Natus Vincere	68c	698.03$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.03	45	75.6%34 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed TheMongolz	25c	667$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.13	90	33.3%30 W · 60 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Natus Vincere	64c	650.91$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.33	122	59%72 W · 50 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz	38c	618.27$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.58	5,876	37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L	+71.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf957…bcb6backed TheMongolz	51c	600$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-7.3wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed TheMongolz	36c	599.99$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214	318	43.1%137 W · 181 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Natus Vincere	49c	580$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.8	323	46.1%149 W · 174 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere	60c	556.41$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.72	2,092	41.6%871 W · 1,221 L	-50.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Natus Vincere	75c	528.12$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.51	233	54.9%128 W · 105 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed Natus Vincere	56c	523.36$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.74	301	53.8%162 W · 139 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbee9…618dbacked TheMongolz	19c	519.6$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked TheMongolz	38c	499.99$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	127	44.1%56 W · 71 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64ad…b7b5backed TheMongolz	32c	499.97$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.99	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+3.4wins	+0.31per pick	51cpaid	+74.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed TheMongolz	33c	441.6$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.13	2,664	30.8%820 W · 1,844 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked TheMongolz	29c	435$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.81	3,949	36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L	-201.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Natus Vincere	59c	432.18$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.58	408	53.7%219 W · 189 L	+24.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked TheMongolz	43c	416.89$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	195	48.2%94 W · 101 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Natus Vincere	63c	399.98$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.99	111	55%61 W · 50 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e53…0e2cbacked TheMongolz	37c	338.91$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.4	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked Natus Vincere	63c	317.46$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.46	78	57.7%45 W · 33 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed Natus Vincere	62c	300$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	153	73.2%112 W · 41 L	+18.5wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked TheMongolz	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1,060	49%519 W · 541 L	+37.6wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c2c…d0cbbacked Natus Vincere	63c	300$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x344e…019ebacked TheMongolz	4c	299.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	106	13.2%14 W · 92 L	-8.3wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked Natus Vincere	68c	293.7$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.7	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-4.3wins	-0.11per pick	63cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed TheMongolz	7c	287.35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.41	161	38.5%62 W · 99 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…bf30backed TheMongolz	7c	284.29$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.28	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7243…1bcabacked TheMongolz	38c	278.38$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked TheMongolz	18c	266.49$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.95	1,632	43.2%705 W · 927 L	-32.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed TheMongolz	36c	264.8$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.33	151	45.7%69 W · 82 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked TheMongolz	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	176	50.6%89 W · 87 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed TheMongolz	45c	255$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.65	214	43%92 W · 122 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed TheMongolz	35c	250.28$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.2	1,431	39%558 W · 873 L	-41.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed TheMongolz	40c	248.57$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.35	742	39.1%290 W · 452 L	-29.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76e8…f211backed Natus Vincere	62c	220.65$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.84	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere	67c	215.78$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.87	2,672	47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L	-31.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked TheMongolz	47c	211.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	256	45.7%117 W · 139 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed TheMongolz	37c	205.41$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	93	33.3%31 W · 62 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere	56c	200$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.9	895	46.8%419 W · 476 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed TheMongolz	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Natus Vincere	76c	200$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	4,099	51%2,091 W · 2,008 L	+74.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed TheMongolz	48c	195.46$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.67	319	54.5%174 W · 145 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked TheMongolz	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Natus Vincere	59c	174.68$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.82	362	39.2%142 W · 220 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed TheMongolz	37c	174.05$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.65	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed TheMongolz	35c	170$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.8	2,474	24.7%611 W · 1,863 L	-316.9wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x44d9…ac79backed Natus Vincere	65c	168.03$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.81	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Natus Vincere	76c	164.74$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.17	726	45.6%331 W · 395 L	-21.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7d9…c572backed Natus Vincere	50c	158$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79	188	51.1%96 W · 92 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Natus Vincere	43c	155.81$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.81	197	47.2%93 W · 104 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa817…1c3bbacked Natus Vincere	67c	148.9$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.9	102	47.1%48 W · 54 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Natus Vincere	62c	148.66$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.91	503	49.3%248 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Natus Vincere	61c	145$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.57	2,554	41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L	-116.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Natus Vincere	49c	140$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.76	3,267	45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L	-85.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked TheMongolz	33c	136.41$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	446	41.3%184 W · 262 L	-28.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz	42c	134.98$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.31	5,341	31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L	-390.7wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Natus Vincere	56c	133.15$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.38	2,143	47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L	-61.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked TheMongolz	28c	131.56$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.65	2,530	34.6%876 W · 1,654 L	-193.6wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed TheMongolz	54c	127.4$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.8	204	54.4%111 W · 93 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df9…0965backed Natus Vincere	60c	127$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.8	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+3.5wins	+0.23per pick	50cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked TheMongolz	40c	124$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.11	2,195	43.1%946 W · 1,249 L	-68.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d6…6562backed Natus Vincere	57c	119.48$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.55	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Natus Vincere	55c	118.18$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.18	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Natus Vincere	58c	114.99$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	393	38.2%150 W · 243 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Natus Vincere	59c	110$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.9	1,489	58%863 W · 626 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffa3…4a81backed Natus Vincere	61c	106.56$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.56	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked TheMongolz	58c	103.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	618	54.9%339 W · 279 L	-18.4wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed TheMongolz	19c	100.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.21	2,456	44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L	-67.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66d5…9e9fbacked Natus Vincere	64c	100$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc34…0953backed TheMongolz	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed TheMongolz	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group DNatus Vincere won
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event