Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bd1377a8ba07220ec052b24266a3602469af5204541eab8b41b3537c0ba0f96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $366,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $380,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 79c | 48,481$38,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,031.9 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 62c | 37,745$23,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,317.83 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…a643backed No | 26c | 16,976$4,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,364.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…662ebacked Yes | 79c | 15,570$12,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.84 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 7c | 14,377$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.97 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed No | 8c | 11,200$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…a80fbacked No | 41c | 8,934$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58f…37a4backed Yes | 59c | 7,898$4,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe967…f62bbacked Yes | 55c | 7,497$4,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…776bbacked No | 30c | 6,583$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…6387backed No | 17c | 6,205$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…bac4backed Yes | 70c | 5,304$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.29 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 69c | 4,973$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.31 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed No | 5c | 4,916$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.36 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 7c | 4,535$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.65 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…cd45backed No | 32c | 4,480$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 4,429$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 16c | 4,377$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.48 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed No | 25c | 4,202$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 42c | 4,151$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.7 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 64c | 4,135$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.4 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed No | 24c | 4,132$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.02 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 56c | 4,069$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked No | 40c | 3,993$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…759abacked No | 53c | 3,846$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +222.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 8c | 3,453$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.24 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No | 25c | 3,209$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…0425backed No | 31c | 3,162$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.83 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…24f7backed No | 32c | 3,147$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 17c | 3,000$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.84 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…94c8backed No | 34c | 2,978$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 74c | 2,742$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.37 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b3…6486backed No | 37c | 2,719$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -82%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 51c | 2,669$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.92 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…10b0backed No | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…289dbacked No | 2c | 2,521$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked No | 9c | 2,387$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…cb66backed No | 48c | 2,297$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 10c | 2,295$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.57 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…3a00backed No | 45c | 2,232$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…fb37backed Yes | 68c | 2,100$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed No | 10c | 2,043$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 59c | 2,012$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.8 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed No | 42c | 1,942$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.53 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3f…512cbacked No | 1c | 1,898$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed Yes | 53c | 1,854$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.38 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…49ddbacked No | 29c | 1,839$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 1,832$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.68 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed No | 38c | 1,795$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0454…859ebacked No | 24c | 1,745$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…a70dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,685$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.28 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 6c | 1,682$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked No | 26c | 1,604$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…cfa8backed No | 17c | 1,593$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…5c9dbacked No | 36c | 1,550$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd3…212bbacked No | 37c | 1,533$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked No | 29c | 1,520$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed No | 7c | 1,516$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9b…3e1dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb753…f859backed No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…3a9fbacked No | 35c | 1,450$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…36d7backed No | 29c | 1,356$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…e3f4backed No | 37c | 1,349$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…23c9backed Yes | 50c | 1,329$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed No | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.59 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 64c | 1,265$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.62 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…d073backed No | 40c | 1,265$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 6c | 1,250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cc…f848backed No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 6c | 1,228$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…6735backed No | 33c | 1,202$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 68c | 1,199$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.96 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…ba24backed No | 20c | 1,150$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 66c | 1,127$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.86 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…29edbacked No | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,110$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.68 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed No | 14c | 1,108$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed No | 20c | 1,105$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.07 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bc…c11abacked No | 33c | 1,080$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,065$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.26 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 64c | 1,063$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.85 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 6c | 1,053$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed No | 46c | 1,035$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.13 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed No | 25c | 1,000$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked No | 24c | 1,000$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.68 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 57c | 999.97$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…4c36backed No | 9c | 914.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c4…4211backed No | 43c | 902.95$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed Yes | 66c | 872.87$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed No | 49c | 802.76$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 28c | 799.98$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.99 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 23c | 780.87$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Yes | 74c | 774.59$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…2a33backed Yes | 65c | 757.97$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.97 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed No | 6c | 752.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…56eebacked No | 18c | 721.55$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed No | 15c | 720$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.