Tennis · resolved market
Will Taylor Fritz Win the Cincinnati Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61b86a71f370a4191c00c3fc6c6099c913a73f46dd7958caaf70ccc744cf892d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a79…eedabacked No | 74c | 11,218$8,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 30c | 4,400$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 28c | 3,075$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.61 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked No | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed Yes | 29c | 2,500$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.99 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 32c | 2,258$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.16 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked No | 68c | 2,182$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.05 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…47e1backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,950$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.69 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8080…8a7ebacked No | 74c | 1,385$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…a041backed Yes | 25c | 1,300$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.8 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 23c | 1,087$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.67 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 72c | 893.95$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.81 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd83b…1ef2backed Yes | 20c | 874.15$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…827fbacked No | 70c | 857.98$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 26c | 762.6$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed Yes | 33c | 754.25$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yes | 23c | 726.95$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.23 | 866 | 35.5%307 W · 559 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 32c | 690.6$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.31 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…2a32backed Yes | 31c | 615.51$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.97 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 39c | 482.22$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.96 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Yes | 21c | 477.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 904 | 54.4%492 W · 412 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Yes | 26c | 378.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed No | 66c | 329.09$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 72c | 324.88$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked No | 76c | 276.27$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…bddebacked No | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…d72bbacked Yes | 9c | 224.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…d69ebacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 26c | 188.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ad…5403backed Yes | 9c | 180.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked No | 70c | 142.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 71c | 85.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed Yes | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 51c | 45.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 70c | 44.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 70c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 32c | 35.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…bf7cbacked No | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 35c | 34.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…b25bbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…80c0backed No | 78c | 14.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Taylor Fritz Win the Cincinnati Open?this page
- Will Alex de Minaur Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Brandon Nakashima Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Flavio Cobolli Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Jakub Mensik Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Joao Fonseca Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Rafael Jodar Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Thiago Agustin Tirante Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.