Tennis · resolved market
Will Alexander Zverev Win the Cincinnati Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7310bb437372926b5472cb9fff389793183fead93e54c4b5e2b1c653fafdf101
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc536…f086backed No | 76c | 7,000$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Yes | 24c | 5,730$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.33 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed No | 77c | 5,007$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 71c | 1,572$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd83b…1ef2backed Yes | 21c | 1,298$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 73c | 1,253$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.42 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 28c | 1,240$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.2 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,214$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 24c | 1,021$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.86 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 24c | 820.32$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…03f3backed No | 68c | 643.35$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.53 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 78c | 538.86$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.55 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed No | 73c | 535.07$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.47 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 27c | 407.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 177 | 46.9%83 W · 94 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…e6a5backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…4575backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…5501backed Yes | 26c | 267.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…ee6cbacked No | 70c | 245.13$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a79…eedabacked No | 74c | 244.51$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…7954backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 79c | 216.63$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 20c | 211.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 27c | 208.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…53a1backed No | 76c | 207.34$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…cb99backed Yes | 28c | 186.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f45…f101backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 29c | 172.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed Yes | 27c | 161.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…a457backed Yes | 26c | 140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 25c | 137.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Yes | 26c | 136.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked No | 77c | 130.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d0…2a3abacked Yes | 27c | 111.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 164 | 37.8%62 W · 102 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852e…ca77backed Yes | 25c | 109.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…6d90backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 56cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…d72bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…827fbacked No | 73c | 96.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 76c | 89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…7a80backed No | 76c | 81.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…c501backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed Yes | 28c | 56.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 24c | 54.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…d124backed Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…eab5backed No | 71c | 42.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 73c | 39.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ae…f949backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…3c83backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafe…5cedbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +65%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8b…280ebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…c078backed No | 53c | 23.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…b25bbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alexander Zverev Win the Cincinnati Open?this page
- Will Alex de Minaur Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Brandon Nakashima Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Flavio Cobolli Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Jakub Mensik Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Joao Fonseca Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Rafael Jodar Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Thiago Agustin Tirante Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul Win the Cincinnati Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.