TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Millwall FC win on 2026-03-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,015 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No52c7,920$4,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,118.2150644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No39c5,631$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.462,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes69c4,632$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.466,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes48c3,356$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.1285048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No33c1,712$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.829532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.419632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No52c937.87$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.51,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.337742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes47c827.63$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.6549544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes48c759.2$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.781,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No53c669.99$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.341,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes46c661.97$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.465633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes47c659$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.2715534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes44c658.16$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.544,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes48c590.04$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.72,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes47c512.77$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.777847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c449$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.481,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes47c416.33$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.751,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes49c412.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.1626344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4145224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes44c385.27$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2172,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No52c384.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1942048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No29c317.87$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.271,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes47c249.89$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.441,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0d…b02fbacked No54c227.41$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c211.01$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2257150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8b…4154backed Yes48c208.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.951154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes48c208.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.54238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.336543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No53c207.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106567.7%44 W · 21 L+12.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes47c199.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10619145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked No52c199.98$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e56…e6f1backed Yes49c192$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc194…f69fbacked No54c183.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0142…963ebacked Yes47c181$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No53c174.68$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4245142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe436…159fbacked Yes46c164$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…7aa1backed Yes49c159$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked No53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.527846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba52…fae1backed Yes49c146$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No53c140$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.210448.1%50 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Yes48c134.16$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6e…17abbacked Yes46c133$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No53c126.42$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes43c109.36$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5610540%42 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1479…b778backed Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608836.4%32 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5227227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed No54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507248.6%35 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes79c87.08$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes48c84.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8936554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes45c84.61$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.716240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc77…397dbacked No52c83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb4…7587backed No54c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0296…32c7backed No52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076f…5e23backed No52c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c35…04bcbacked No54c64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Yes49c63.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.567143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e8…ecc1backed No54c62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No53c57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2135661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Yes46c56.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5311450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88aa…589cbacked No54c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf225…7b2dbacked No52c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes77c54.6$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.564158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9224…7807backed Yes46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Yes47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.199858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0828531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f0c…21d8backed No54c52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No53c51.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.091,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes48c51.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8411850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes52c50.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0922335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.518963%119 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2620144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd2d…f552backed No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.522448.7%109 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254650%23 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58a3…7d6abacked No52c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes54c49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5711549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No53c46.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8610752.3%56 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0466…b3a5backed Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No52c44.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2880953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef3…6c6abacked Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95cf…5033backed No54c42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6711048.2%53 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.677537.3%28 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No51c41.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9927051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Yes48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.89339.8%37 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.417047.6%81 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes47c38.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…db37backed No31c38.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564c…696cbacked No52c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes72c37.67$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3849753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No53c37.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes60c37.06$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.981,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013746%63 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes49c36.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7329644.6%132 W · 164 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes49c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8528242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2123…099bbacked No52c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5544…0b95backed No54c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.