TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,027

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,027 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Under63c23,626$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0005438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Over38c23,595$8,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,629.088743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c23,012$15,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,062.452,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over41c9,768$4,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,763.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+85.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over37c8,953$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,619.9333148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over35c6,640$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,315.927358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under62c6,398$3,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,966.9840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under61c5,602$3,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,432.1896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.9720544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under64c4,967$3,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,191.4916838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under65c4,883$3,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,173.0834643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Over36c4,531$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.823348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Under60c4,400$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over34c3,888$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.927552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over38c3,838$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.562951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under62c3,656$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.4645547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over37c2,797$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.177160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6292…d696backed Over36c2,594$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+102.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over35c2,434$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.241353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under59c2,429$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.8893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over38c2,217$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.6240549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over36c2,180$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.146535.4%23 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18014249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Under63c1,576$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over23c1,422$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.81747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+92%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over37c1,145$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.472060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over10c1,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9004247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6207749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over45c999$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.4511127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over62c977.97$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.814351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under57c961.75$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.9249850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over33c909.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.0915459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under63c876.98$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.533357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3763348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under68c731.81$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over24c700$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5325518.2%10 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3727558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over38c531.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.783040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under63c530.12$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.7926040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3211429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over32c468.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.7513826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under63c418$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3422348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over48c413.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.284344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over38c410.53$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.537464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over62c401.25$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.87657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over38c395$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.912452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over38c394.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.744553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over27c337.09$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.0918055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under41c336.41$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.933271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over30c333.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.61145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over40c321.98$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9810951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under63c315$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.37646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa18f…073fbacked Over59c314.75$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.05742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over33c301.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.441090%9 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.48per pick42cpaid+123.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18025556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18028556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over37c299.97$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.985236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7311268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.167954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over37c258.35$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.769937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over49c255$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3714549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over64c253.28$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0329862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Over22c252.62$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.631526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15012048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over36c249.91$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9438547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over63c239.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.416972.5%50 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under61c233.93$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.596245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over40c230$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13816851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.398744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1245339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1281650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Under64c195.31$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over38c192.9$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.613445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over38c180$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.623353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under61c169.92$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.179750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc01a…b014backed Over54c164.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over38c158.81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over37c158.14$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6346047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over64c156$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Over38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over33c149.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.493551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f5a…2a37backed Over38c140.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Over38c140$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.84339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over36c138.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1111348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under62c136.36$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.892536%9 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under66c131.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9615259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed Over38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e8…7042backed Over38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.587950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x979d…87dcbacked Over37c131.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over54c130.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.765862.1%36 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Over37c129$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.351546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under65c125.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.848752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c37…ad47backed Over58c124.09$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over37c123.51$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under44c122.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over38c120$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.411454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.