Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1b51b6c29828e61a6e4bf697d4db047a5d6302cf078cdf4662cfe13b4f48032
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 17,201$13,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,003.75 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 13,774$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 4,438$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.6 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 24c | 3,895$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.5 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 3,761$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.95 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Yes | 25c | 3,600$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 1,339$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.11 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,303$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,279$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.35 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 24c | 1,217$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.47 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 24c | 1,208$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 4c | 1,113$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…82dabacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 23c | 913.04$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 47.3%97 W · 108 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 21c | 784$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Yes | 24c | 708.33$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 75c | 666$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 26c | 641.23$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.42 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 22c | 624.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 594.71$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.67 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 548.1$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 546.52$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.06 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 79c | 505.5$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…625dbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 25c | 386.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 26c | 385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…fcb3backed Yes | 27c | 370.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 327.4$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…06e1backed Yes | 23c | 325.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 25c | 296.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8c…116dbacked Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 75c | 245.42$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 75c | 243.74$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…93d2backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ce…1f2abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…8e1cbacked Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5458…5dd8backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 8c | 161.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…39c3backed Yes | 24c | 143.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…29d9backed No | 77c | 119.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…0296backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…66b2backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 11c | 98.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 25c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…ce5dbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…76abbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…8aa7backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 22c | 80.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Yes | 22c | 79.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 75.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 77c | 71.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…a0eebacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +146%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…4809backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0720backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…620ebacked Yes | 23c | 45.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 75c | 44.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…8323backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd264…f6bdbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…63c4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a52…0c6fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x965c…ec2bbacked No | 74c | 36.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 78c | 36.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 238 | 66.8%159 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…92b8backed No | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 144 | 61.1%88 W · 56 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…bc14backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…fcb9backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 75c | 18.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked No | 76c | 14.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Draw at halftime?this page
- Saudi Arabia leading at halftime?No won
- Spain leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.