Fifa International · resolved market
Spain leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3364de16bf5174759b69cc230e7848d8c79f59a382210690b284a998e283c274
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 73c | 27,965$20,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,428.89 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 73c | 22,170$16,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,075.15 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 27c | 21,551$5,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,860.47 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 73c | 19,193$13,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.15 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 73c | 18,137$13,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,815.43 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 27c | 14,461$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.99 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 27c | 14,239$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.47 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 27c | 11,603$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.57 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…1b74backed Yes | 73c | 9,035$6,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.49 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes | 73c | 7,000$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 27c | 6,200$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.62 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…037ebacked Yes | 73c | 6,086$4,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 27c | 6,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 5,736$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.21 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked No | 27c | 5,626$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.09 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 21c | 5,163$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.53 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 26c | 4,680$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.8 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 26c | 4,463$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.27 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 27c | 4,443$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.61 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 27c | 2,597$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.13 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 27c | 2,502$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.2 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 16c | 2,451$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.46 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed No | 4c | 2,367$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…35d6backed Yes | 73c | 2,308$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.11 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 27c | 1,894$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.38 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,699$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.61 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…6babbacked Yes | 70c | 1,687$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.95 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 27c | 1,662$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.62 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 27c | 1,600$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 27c | 1,503$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.81 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 27c | 1,472$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.43 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 28c | 1,470$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.62 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 27c | 1,400$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 72c | 999.99$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 27c | 953.47$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.2 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed No | 27c | 848.73$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 27c | 839.73$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.42 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Yes | 73c | 775$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.25 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 27c | 772.66$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.62 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked No | 27c | 711.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.24 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…7714backed Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…d306backed Yes | 73c | 673.97$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.97 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 27c | 662.19$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.74 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 27c | 643.33$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.12 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 74c | 613.49$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…6de6backed Yes | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 27c | 599.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 26c | 594.71$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.62 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 19c | 564.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.41 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 72c | 559.22$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.58 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Yes | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 26c | 546.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked No | 27c | 544.81$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.1 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed No | 27c | 544.81$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.1 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked No | 27c | 544.81$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.1 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 22c | 505.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed No | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…e9ecbacked Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 75c | 493.33$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…2856backed Yes | 71c | 462.61$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…19bdbacked Yes | 73c | 447.95$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 71c | 446.6$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.51 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ef…82b8backed Yes | 73c | 443.47$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…29d9backed No | 27c | 440$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 5c | 431.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 71c | 421.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49a…c2f7backed No | 5c | 411.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc616…3571backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 28c | 400.71$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Yes | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 27c | 399.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 3c | 399.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 73c | 397.26$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 73c | 395.67$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 26c | 386.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 26c | 385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 27c | 346.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 76c | 344.71$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe050…ed54backed Yes | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…493dbacked Yes | 73c | 316$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 27c | 312$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain leading at halftime?this page
- Saudi Arabia leading at halftime?No won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.