Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12910c35d2983edb2bfc03913dd3c7d19a1848829734986caf8bb1efd62ddb3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $527,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $523,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 50c | 102,645$51,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,404.61 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 49c | 90,266$44,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,163.32 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 51c | 37,937$19,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,386.73 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 33,122$22,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,551.98 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 29,724$14,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,863.84 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 52c | 25,058$12,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,960.44 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 22,993$11,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,315.85 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed No | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.96 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 48c | 19,345$9,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,989.63 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 14,591$3,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,263.53 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 33c | 13,580$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.45 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 51c | 13,407$6,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,862.84 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 11c | 13,331$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.76 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 50c | 10,079$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.7 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 48c | 9,884$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,148.67 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 48c | 9,766$4,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,078.36 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 8,723$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,489.81 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 23c | 7,365$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.27 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 50c | 6,962$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.51 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 48c | 6,271$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.21 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 49c | 6,263$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.67 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.97 | 210 | 46.7%98 W · 112 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 18c | 5,141$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.07 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked No | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 48c | 4,462$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.29 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 22c | 4,401$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Yes | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed No | 49c | 3,616$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.24 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 73c | 3,082$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.53 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 52c | 3,077$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 31c | 3,041$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.49 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 50c | 2,876$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.02 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 49c | 2,751$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.99 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 65c | 2,363$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.55 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 53c | 2,231$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.79 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 48c | 2,197$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.43 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…cc32backed Yes | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…9903backed Yes | 52c | 2,019$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 49c | 1,999$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.27 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 48c | 1,997$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.93 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 48c | 1,912$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.49 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 52c | 1,904$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.08 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 48c | 1,894$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.88 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 29c | 1,761$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.52 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 49c | 1,681$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.66 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 45c | 1,656$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.2 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…6babbacked Yes | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 34c | 1,534$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.57 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 1,511$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.87 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 50c | 1,510$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.91 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,484$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.6 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 48c | 1,472$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.44 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 1,464$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.64 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa29…57ebbacked Yes | 45c | 1,361$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Yes | 41c | 1,305$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.1 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…e170backed No | 52c | 1,281$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.72 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.99 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,189$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 52c | 1,171$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 79c | 1,119$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.04 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca02…76d3backed No | 49c | 1,117$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.72 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Yes | 18c | 1,101$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 141 | 31.2%44 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1743backed Yes | 35c | 1,074$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…57ecbacked Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 50c | 996.66$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.93 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked No | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Yes | 53c | 947.02$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…037ebacked Yes | 52c | 936.54$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 908.3$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.33 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 79c | 898.96$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.9 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 50c | 898.17$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.09 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…9a82backed Yes | 51c | 888$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.88 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…1847backed Yes | 46c | 862.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 51c | 817.63$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.64 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed No | 50c | 814.96$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.48 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 52c | 800.3$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.31 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 50c | 797.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.48 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 49c | 784.97$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.73 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 79c | 762.53$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.27 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…7260backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed No | 52c | 713.57$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.15 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Yes | 34c | 709.42$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.03 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium leading at halftime?this page
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Draw at halftime?Yes won
- IR Iran leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.