Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa497d96f50c032ad70e671c204188ba5926620e332cb57ff294e235ece579cd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 36,211$8,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,057.48 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 39c | 31,136$12,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,962.73 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 26,799$15,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,726.39 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 77c | 12,864$9,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.06 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 5,346$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 5,147$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.73 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 38c | 5,040$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.55 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 62c | 3,402$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.33 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 40c | 3,091$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.07 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 77c | 2,874$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.71 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 61c | 2,099$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.06 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Yes | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 49c | 1,478$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.35 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 7c | 1,472$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 27c | 1,349$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.48 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 62c | 1,272$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.8 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked No | 61c | 1,250$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.66 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Yes | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 38c | 1,032$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.1 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 46c | 935$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.34 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 38c | 908.47$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.97 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 38c | 873$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.26 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 30c | 815$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 72c | 786.53$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.23 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 65c | 762.53$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.81 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 62c | 649.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.06 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 52c | 642.45$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.53 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 62c | 575$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.5 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Yes | 38c | 568.16$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 16c | 381.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Yes | 77c | 350.65$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 53c | 337.69$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.48 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…a08bbacked Yes | 64c | 329.9$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 49c | 299$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.93 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 298.7$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.35 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Yes | 39c | 284.26$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 72c | 277.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 42c | 273.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.81 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb3…ea01backed Yes | 55c | 271.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 76c | 263.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…54e1backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…a894backed Yes | 68c | 248.71$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…e679backed Yes | 38c | 246.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.96 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 55c | 237.5$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…9182backed Yes | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 41c | 233.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.85 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Yes | 42c | 226.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.19 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 61c | 216$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.31 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 39c | 213.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 38c | 206.91$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.28 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 47c | 203.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 55c | 195.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…ff1ebacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…7714backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8c…116dbacked Yes | 39c | 166.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0519…3b47backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…171dbacked Yes | 80c | 147$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…29d9backed No | 62c | 140$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca0…2f8dbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Yes | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 54c | 119.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x78d0…6110backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 11c | 112.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed No | 43c | 106.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed No | 57c | 101.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 295 | 58.3%172 W · 123 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…b88fbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…e21bbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 268 | 36.9%99 W · 169 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…e139backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f7…71d2backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 39c | 95.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 38c | 88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Yes | 38c | 85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…76a8backed Yes | 79c | 84.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…ee82backed Yes | 79c | 83.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Yes | 42c | 83.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 240 | 50%120 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed No | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 202 | 24.3%49 W · 153 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 74c | 78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…1847backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked No | 61c | 74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 39c | 68.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe382…f187backed Yes | 54c | 64.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…80b2backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 62c | 61.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Draw at halftime?this page
- Belgium leading at halftime?No won
- IR Iran leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.