Fifa International · resolved market
IR Iran leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96ca16c88cb9051bdfb0a095d4e27bbd7825ac453254573357d7a4eda028b8d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 39,354$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.16 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 29,099$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.89 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 11c | 15,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 12,138$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Yes | 11c | 4,182$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 3,665$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.12 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 12c | 2,386$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.32 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked No | 46c | 2,309$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.73 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 47c | 2,252$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.84 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 13c | 2,040$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.75 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 2c | 1,749$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 3c | 1,470$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…5e80backed Yes | 2c | 1,130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,086$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…23c4backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48f…7f39backed Yes | 9c | 882.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 8c | 844.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…c228backed Yes | 2c | 838.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 42c | 818.31$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.69 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 799.57$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.95 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 50c | 762.53$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.52 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 44c | 729.77$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.06 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…11aebacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988b…e331backed Yes | 12c | 646.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 526.78$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.49 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…a64bbacked Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Yes | 19c | 470.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…de06backed Yes | 12c | 434.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…cc66backed Yes | 3c | 413.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yes | 12c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 4c | 389.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes | 7c | 371.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 11c | 320.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…2801backed Yes | 9c | 312.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Yes | 10c | 295.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 33c | 274.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…073dbacked Yes | 12c | 250.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 7c | 239.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 61c | 237.5$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Yes | 11c | 191$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 6c | 188.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…d036backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac5…0ce6backed Yes | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 73c | 145$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…78a8backed Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 18cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…7386backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Yes | 10c | 124.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 124$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eac…694fbacked No | 42c | 121.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…bbd5backed Yes | 9c | 121$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…502ebacked Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Yes | 11c | 102.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 238 | 38.7%92 W · 146 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…baf7backed Yes | 11c | 96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed Yes | 12c | 90.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 64c | 83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 43c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IR Iran leading at halftime?this page
- Belgium leading at halftime?No won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.