Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eb2aa6dd6aa815de739413f5feb8d2db40cd11165d7114a873d7d27fcad41d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 57c | 65,016$37,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,998.26 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 32,987$9,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,775.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 19,936$4,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,551.89 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 16,036$10,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,553.22 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 14,569$9,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,016.55 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes | 34c | 10,146$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 35c | 8,956$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.63 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 34c | 8,824$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 34c | 8,235$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 39c | 7,092$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.77 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 41c | 6,556$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.11 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.98 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 34c | 4,580$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.2 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Yes | 56c | 4,418$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.44 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 64c | 4,343$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.89 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 66c | 4,054$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.61 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 35c | 3,414$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.54 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 59c | 3,046$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.8 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 60c | 2,447$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.35 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 37c | 2,084$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.05 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,861$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.57 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 59c | 1,748$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.34 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 29c | 1,695$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.76 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 36c | 1,564$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.36 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 32c | 1,440$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.41 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 1,324$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.53 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 78c | 1,048$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.38 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…9555backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 68c | 936.45$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.39 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed No | 46c | 838.17$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.61 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…ef80backed Yes | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 34c | 704.69$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.13 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 69c | 673.74$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.95 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…e743backed Yes | 42c | 634.64$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.55 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe159…d6d6backed Yes | 3c | 561$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3224…dc4dbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 66c | 550$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 52c | 545.77$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.94 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…6150backed Yes | 5c | 541.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 66c | 530$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 68c | 525.38$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.12 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 66c | 489.42$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.46 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 32c | 463.51$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.11 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…db8cbacked Yes | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 64c | 442.31$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.23 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 54c | 441.9$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 235 | 58.3%137 W · 98 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed Yes | 51c | 412$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 6c | 396.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 65c | 376.76$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.87 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Yes | 54c | 363.54$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 63c | 352.83$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.11 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Yes | 34c | 336$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 56c | 323.14$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 40c | 320$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 58c | 293.38$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…2b7bbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 24.2%40 W · 125 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2b…c1c1backed Yes | 35c | 277.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8319…b61abacked Yes | 35c | 273.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 40c | 249.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…4857backed Yes | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 58c | 230.93$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.94 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 60c | 216$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 50c | 213$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…b5e0backed No | 48c | 206.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9e38backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…2ee1backed Yes | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 66c | 191.66$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 60c | 189.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 13c | 187.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed No | 58c | 187.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 60c | 187$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Yes | 45c | 183.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 66c | 183.43$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 60c | 179$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d62…fddabacked Yes | 54c | 177.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 69c | 176$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…4eb3backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8f…6de5backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec2…4035backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…db52backed Yes | 34c | 132.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes | 20c | 131.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 37c | 129.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 53c | 124.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 28c | 119.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?this page
- Austria leading at halftime?No won
- Spain leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.