CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x446f157951f03f1133db92bebf4e0ce3f877781f5e85dddeeeff299e04ede061
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE | 68c | 1,359$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…70cdbacked Lavked | 31c | 1,300$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.79 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE | 64c | 378.18$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 27c | 331$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked | 20c | 286.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Lavked | 26c | 196.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1566backed KOLESIE | 65c | 172.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…6be6backed Lavked | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lavked | 39c | 124.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Lavked | 17c | 109.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lavked | 37c | 96.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf099…d75cbacked KOLESIE | 54c | 91.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…ce5dbacked Lavked | 14c | 77.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Lavked | 31c | 71.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KOLESIE | 79c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lavked | 45c | 63.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lavked | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Lavked | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked KOLESIE | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KOLESIE | 77c | 33.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked KOLESIE | 75c | 26.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked KOLESIE | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group StageKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.