TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KOLESIEof KOLESIE, Lavked
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,882

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x78f4…4a4abacked Lavked2c10,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Lavked2c5,733$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3340%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Lavked2c2,250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451080.9%1 W · 107 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5667…8ca3backed Lavked42c2,231$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.012454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Lavked54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9943951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Lavked2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6535…063fbacked Lavked3c1,958$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.58214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-78.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa905…e13bbacked KOLESIE46c1,640$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Lavked3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45130%0 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Lavked4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60140%0 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Lavked1c1,330$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91190.8%1 W · 118 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed Lavked59c1,054$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.0815264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Lavked34c1,023$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.7635839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Lavked41c1,017$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9950846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed KOLESIE54c920.83$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.432951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed KOLESIE60c882.18$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.8137145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Lavked44c875.75$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.3394645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked KOLESIE61c801.39$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.7336645.6%167 W · 199 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Lavked24c796.65$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.631,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed KOLESIE58c774.68$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.373658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked KOLESIE36c714.79$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.4720755.1%114 W · 93 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca4…db18backed Lavked59c679.7$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-49.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Lavked54c670.11$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.1615954.1%86 W · 73 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KOLESIE41c597.88$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.395,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed KOLESIE65c582.32$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.245,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed KOLESIE59c527.01$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.094,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked KOLESIE56c503.43$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4335460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked43c488$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.012,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked40c471.4$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.466,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Lavked40c470.32$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.412,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed KOLESIE46c450$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2435,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Lavked48c379.6$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1278043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed KOLESIE65c362.33$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1941050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE57c344.93$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.624,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf099…d75cbacked KOLESIE45c330.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.926567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked KOLESIE75c308.24$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.853,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed KOLESIE71c300$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.132,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed KOLESIE35c283.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3118736.4%68 W · 119 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed KOLESIE38c265.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9112433.9%42 W · 82 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc218…2c33backed KOLESIE78c262.35$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Lavked7c250$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.518432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked KOLESIE56c243.82$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.964,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lavked49c241.19$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0680942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed KOLESIE68c240.49$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.362,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked KOLESIE40c230$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.243151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f18…1566backed KOLESIE41c214.63$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.712070%14 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+54.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked KOLESIE41c210.84$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.431845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Lavked12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2464439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Lavked6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214545.5%66 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked KOLESIE55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907445.9%34 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Lavked44c197.77$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.232,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Lavked58c180.55$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10444244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Lavked34c154.68$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5363541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed KOLESIE58c154.04$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.433146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked KOLESIE65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8521653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed KOLESIE67c148.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.635749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed KOLESIE68c147.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.728052.9%148 W · 132 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed KOLESIE59c138.18$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6549143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed KOLESIE45c130.07$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6235147.9%168 W · 183 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed KOLESIE48c121$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7447447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed KOLESIE45c115$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4643544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2669…fa0dbacked KOLESIE44c114.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.473050%15 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ace…22b6backed KOLESIE78c102.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed KOLESIE57c102.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.223243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Lavked45c102.11$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.33,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Lavked52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5261054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Lavked12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1237339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked KOLESIE68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe075…bf89backed KOLESIE55c99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.717146.2%79 W · 92 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb70…0854backed Lavked58c93.24$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed KOLESIE44c89.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.394,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Lavked26c89.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.528042.5%119 W · 161 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Lavked40c87.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.132,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Lavked35c83.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.221,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed KOLESIE65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9259343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Lavked28c66.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.892,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc48…05bbbacked Lavked69c63.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.932466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661e…48efbacked Lavked16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked KOLESIE47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Lavked62c56.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3550050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed KOLESIE46c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.740141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a9…9f56backed Lavked20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked KOLESIE70c47.76$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.331,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked KOLESIE71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7819150.3%96 W · 95 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…f793backed Lavked40c33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27943%34 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed KOLESIE49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.618660.5%52 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2df…2368backed Lavked58c30.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6711750.4%59 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc88c…c353backed Lavked51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65156.7%1 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-82.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Lavked65c23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9364046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdca…3e35backed Lavked59c20.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.