TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: CCG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
CCG Esportsof CCG Esports, Winthrop University
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,979 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Winthrop University44c9,910$4,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,366.6392254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0111…1071backed CCG Esports64c5,349$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.471668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+86%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Winthrop University36c3,750$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.31,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66d2…4186backed CCG Esports53c2,530$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.476440.6%26 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked CCG Esports64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72084360.7%512 W · 331 L+44.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9528…f04cbacked CCG Esports57c1,773$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Winthrop University48c1,640$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.352,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Winthrop University47c1,549$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.5314429.2%42 W · 102 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed CCG Esports51c1,521$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.111,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed CCG Esports57c1,275$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.71,01447.6%483 W · 531 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Winthrop University43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5161,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed CCG Esports53c1,196$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.4937548%180 W · 195 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked CCG Esports55c1,100$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.740145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked CCG Esports57c1,047$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.588967.4%60 W · 29 L+13.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed CCG Esports57c1,044$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.5614243.7%62 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked CCG Esports73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0811655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Winthrop University47c936.34$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.081361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Winthrop University54c914.6$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.1546258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked CCG Esports64c893.65$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.545552.7%29 W · 26 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Winthrop University39c843.97$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.881,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Winthrop University45c799.17$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3631,67559.3%993 W · 682 L+96.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Winthrop University47c775$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.253268.8%22 W · 10 L+7.2wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+130.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Winthrop University47c750$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.57851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked Winthrop University38c729.85$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2768840.9%36 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Winthrop University43c667.35$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.250749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Winthrop University45c631.96$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.262,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked CCG Esports50c618.14$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.071,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Winthrop University47c616.27$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.851,15355.9%645 W · 508 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked CCG Esports57c611.01$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5830253.6%162 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Winthrop University47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2824564.4%29 W · 16 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed CCG Esports56c540.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1943642.4%185 W · 251 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked CCG Esports59c517.55$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.931,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed CCG Esports53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23514148.2%68 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Winthrop University45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22529940.1%120 W · 179 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed CCG Esports58c497.99$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1617439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f8…8c55backed CCG Esports50c492.28$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.59640.6%39 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Winthrop University44c491.47$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.932,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8c…dc9ebacked CCG Esports55c477.27$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.776643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed CCG Esports44c419.44$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4411563.5%73 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked CCG Esports55c388$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.620635.4%73 W · 133 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed CCG Esports59c385.23$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.891,54543.8%676 W · 869 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed CCG Esports60c379.75$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.93831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked CCG Esports57c374.14$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4919150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked CCG Esports51c371.29$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.811833.1%39 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Winthrop University69c363.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6921749.8%108 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f15…f950backed Winthrop University41c348.88$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.674042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Winthrop University45c333.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027244.1%120 W · 152 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed CCG Esports51c321.33$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2760849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Winthrop University61c300$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1829754.6%53 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed CCG Esports52c294.62$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4213130.5%40 W · 91 L-13.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked CCG Esports74c290.83$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5626363.9%168 W · 95 L-0.9wins0.00per pick64cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f4…59eabacked Winthrop University13c282.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.973534.3%12 W · 23 L+6.5wins+0.19per pick16cpaid+85.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed Winthrop University16c272.83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5415829.7%47 W · 111 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd89c…2d1fbacked Winthrop University38c265.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018159.1%107 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0083…80fdbacked CCG Esports65c247.97$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.231844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Winthrop University41c245.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011667.2%78 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked CCG Esports68c236.59$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.392,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Winthrop University43c235.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046946.7%219 W · 250 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Winthrop University56c230$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.496348.7%469 W · 494 L+28.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…b387backed Winthrop University44c218$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4364749.5%320 W · 327 L+3.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Winthrop University42c212.87$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9034960.7%212 W · 137 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecff…8d1cbacked Winthrop University45c210.93$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3f3…9e5bbacked Winthrop University30c206.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.331127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed CCG Esports52c202.33$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.151,05650.4%532 W · 524 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked CCG Esports49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026443.8%28 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed CCG Esports56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8850647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Winthrop University50c198.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed Winthrop University46c198.47$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.19149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc58e…5232backed CCG Esports78c189.01$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc995…5e2ebacked CCG Esports63c176.92$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9213060.8%79 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Winthrop University46c174.55$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8118254.9%100 W · 82 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9f…31e3backed CCG Esports58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed CCG Esports57c161.03$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2647630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3724…c59abacked CCG Esports56c159.53$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4310034%34 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ffc…cfabbacked CCG Esports63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7323740.5%96 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed CCG Esports54c154$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8422737%84 W · 143 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked CCG Esports52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8525640.6%104 W · 152 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31d1…a9f7backed CCG Esports46c151.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.874847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Winthrop University50c151.36$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6835545.4%161 W · 194 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Winthrop University38c151.04$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.811540%46 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Winthrop University31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.523943.1%103 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…4500backed Winthrop University40c149.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012727.6%35 W · 92 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f9…7d44backed CCG Esports54c148.7$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.77648.7%37 W · 39 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed CCG Esports47c145.36$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.681,24439.7%494 W · 750 L-69.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Winthrop University68c142$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5674462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked CCG Esports56c139.67$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0111851.7%61 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed CCG Esports61c135.56$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.470757%403 W · 304 L+35.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed CCG Esports55c133.87$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8724038.3%92 W · 148 L-15.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed CCG Esports53c131.26$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9311552.2%60 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Winthrop University29c129.42$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3880750.8%410 W · 397 L+48.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Winthrop University46c129.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.051,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Winthrop University41c121.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025853.5%138 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed CCG Esports50c116.55$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2812428.2%35 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed CCG Esports61c113.72$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8452046%239 W · 281 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed CCG Esports63c110.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.524858.1%144 W · 104 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee73…be10backed Winthrop University49c110$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.96136.1%22 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Winthrop University36c108$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.357222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Winthrop University28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306159%36 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CCG Esports61c107.04$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.72,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Winthrop University41c102.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.