Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a12a6244a45327124ff772e70405450401f69166f44b0dfb292e6ac081cac13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $637,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $566,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $637,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 65,558$9,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,539.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 15c | 40,912$6,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,136.81 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 15c | 29,123$4,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,368.41 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 15c | 20,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 15c | 16,826$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.9 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 15c | 13,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Yes | 15c | 13,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Yes | 1c | 10,535$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 4c | 10,017$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.61 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 7,384$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.27 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 15c | 7,198$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.42 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 15c | 6,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…362bbacked Yes | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ba…fe72backed Yes | 16c | 2,920$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,379$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…2ce7backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403a…376cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,889$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea3…e25cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,845$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 5c | 1,687$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…3463backed Yes | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 2c | 1,620$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes | 15c | 1,620$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 132 | 37.1%49 W · 83 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 16c | 1,509$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.49 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,486$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.22 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…036abacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f54…ac8dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe719…b74dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf906…1567backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d95…54efbacked Yes | 15c | 1,169$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.27 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…6060backed Yes | 16c | 1,145$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.12 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 16c | 1,054$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.4 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb7…6b52backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 16c | 910.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.76 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 6c | 866.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes | 15c | 791.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed Yes | 16c | 752$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 14c | 744.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 8c | 723.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…11aebacked Yes | 7c | 715.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 9c | 709.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 15c | 682.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 1,068 | 49.2%525 W · 543 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…21d3backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x337a…62dbbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…fefcbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f21…68fbbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8121backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes | 17c | 647.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 133 | 29.3%39 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…e8e6backed Yes | 16c | 637.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…da63backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 41.5%68 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…466dbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eef…dc37backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa286…b3babacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…29febacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…7e9abacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa837…24a4backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 15c | 550$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…6f63backed Yes | 17c | 529.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x231d…4bdfbacked Yes | 15c | 508.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…658bbacked Yes | 17c | 503.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 7c | 500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 228 | 35.5%81 W · 147 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…0aedbacked Yes | 14c | 499.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 239 | 44.8%107 W · 132 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 7c | 481.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…8e4bbacked Yes | 15c | 473.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…46fcbacked Yes | 15c | 466.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 466.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…40c4backed Yes | 9c | 438.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 232 | 18.1%42 W · 190 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 7c | 437.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes | 15c | 433.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 121 | 24%29 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 15c | 421.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 6c | 414.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 16c | 400$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…5596backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…de64backed Yes | 7c | 378.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…ef94backed Yes | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbf…0a5abacked Yes | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…08d3backed Yes | 15c | 350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…38e7backed Yes | 16c | 343.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Uzbekistan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.