Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb354c7d1cf46156c27659e918dc7d060d5b4d9d1e839c2601a69f7a6b06c930a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 12,030$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.43 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9c…2aeebacked Yes | 5c | 3,800$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Yes | 5c | 3,008$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 3c | 2,444$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…69bcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,448$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 6c | 1,110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcd…a2b5backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…19d7backed Yes | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 5c | 951.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 6c | 950$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…7a7dbacked Yes | 3c | 900$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…7e9abacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…e64cbacked Yes | 6c | 802.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 17%16 W · 78 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 5c | 565$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…bec3backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 32.8%67 W · 137 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…6434backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…ebb8backed Yes | 6c | 326$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…256ebacked Yes | 6c | 324$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes | 5c | 320$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 209 | 11%23 W · 186 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf688…3791backed Yes | 6c | 316.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 5c | 305$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4961…5cc7backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 14.6%15 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…0cb1backed Yes | 5c | 223.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…ba88backed Yes | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c30abacked Yes | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 10c | 206$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 13.5%27 W · 173 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 20%27 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…fcbfbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…82d1backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6644…8ed1backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Uzbekistan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.