Boxing · resolved market
La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. Fernanfloo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaffcd16f5a7627562e5bd6db0951c38cab2be63ddbae60784feeecbcc899eaa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Plexof Plex, Fernanfloo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Fernanfloo | 14c | 9,255$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Fernanfloo | 15c | 3,494$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fernanfloo | 10c | 3,274$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.9 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Fernanfloo | 10c | 2,235$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.06 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Fernanfloo | 10c | 1,276$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…b724backed Fernanfloo | 13c | 1,077$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4565…6549backed Fernanfloo | 12c | 922.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Fernanfloo | 6c | 904.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fb…ff14backed Fernanfloo | 13c | 888.69$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Fernanfloo | 14c | 817$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…bdc7backed Fernanfloo | 16c | 754.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fernanfloo | 13c | 732.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Fernanfloo | 18c | 401.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a4…942fbacked Fernanfloo | 8c | 372.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106a…95abbacked Fernanfloo | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…a065backed Fernanfloo | 16c | 271.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Fernanfloo | 13c | 220.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…e32ebacked Fernanfloo | 12c | 218.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…5b5fbacked Fernanfloo | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…6965backed Fernanfloo | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Fernanfloo | 10c | 185.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Fernanfloo | 6c | 179.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…2813backed Fernanfloo | 13c | 156.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8698…4a94backed Fernanfloo | 13c | 151.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…20bbbacked Fernanfloo | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…2519backed Fernanfloo | 14c | 147.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Fernanfloo | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Fernanfloo | 16c | 133.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…caf5backed Fernanfloo | 18c | 124.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Fernanfloo | 12c | 124.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa381…2961backed Fernanfloo | 12c | 123.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed Fernanfloo | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…c6aabacked Fernanfloo | 13c | 118.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed Fernanfloo | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…f62abacked Fernanfloo | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Fernanfloo | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1919…6186backed Fernanfloo | 15c | 96.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be1…f97abacked Fernanfloo | 13c | 90.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…62b3backed Fernanfloo | 14c | 90.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fernanfloo | 13c | 88.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f8…88d8backed Fernanfloo | 11c | 87.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…8be6backed Fernanfloo | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…11debacked Fernanfloo | 13c | 83.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed Fernanfloo | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53d8…75f6backed Fernanfloo | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b4…9346backed Fernanfloo | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…5760backed Fernanfloo | 19c | 52.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.