Fifa International · resolved market
Japan leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01d4cf5b9504ef6150aa96626d296c327c2565f106fa97fa4ee23bc677c19d2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 17c | 24,460$4,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,322.83 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 21,055$14,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,672.84 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 0c | 21,020$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 16,492$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,548.02 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 10,244$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.44 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8d…b115backed Yes | 17c | 9,529$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,909.41 | 102 | 24.5%25 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 16c | 8,969$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,533.76 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 7,765$4,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.39 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 5c | 7,412$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.08 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes | 16c | 6,708$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,634.72 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Yes | 17c | 5,643$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,683.45 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 2c | 4,061$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 73c | 3,485$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.05 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 62c | 3,007$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.14 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 17c | 2,694$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.4 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Yes | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…cc32backed Yes | 13c | 2,300$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.38 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked No | 1c | 2,250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 15c | 2,099$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.13 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 2,081$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.32 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,017$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722b…c68bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,975$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,599$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.16 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 61c | 1,547$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.08 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 19c | 1,502$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.13 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…91a8backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 1,203$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.74 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 1,188$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.5 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 17c | 1,158$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.45 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…9304backed Yes | 17c | 1,111$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.23 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 70c | 986.97$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.94 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 2c | 975.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 76c | 921.05$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.05 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e16…35f5backed No | 22c | 912.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 18c | 912.22$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.39 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…ca04backed Yes | 17c | 912.18$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 24c | 902.53$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.96 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597b…a872backed Yes | 80c | 780$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…c780backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Yes | 15c | 730.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.87 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 28c | 720.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 72c | 719.79$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.1 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…c22ebacked Yes | 16c | 686.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…8883backed No | 13c | 682.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…3579backed Yes | 16c | 629.31$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.62 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…300bbacked Yes | 16c | 618.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.75 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2e15backed Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Yes | 15c | 600$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 17c | 590$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.7 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…3ba6backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 13c | 569.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.23 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Yes | 16c | 555$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.2 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked No | 43c | 538.09$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.66 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…0788backed Yes | 16c | 535.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.93 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 13c | 520.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed No | 3c | 515.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 79c | 475.68$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 29c | 447.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.67 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.76 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 3c | 408.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…51afbacked Yes | 17c | 382.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.35 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 55c | 376.76$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 51c | 363.53$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.81 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 73c | 363.29$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40b…9ab4backed No | 17c | 361.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed No | 27c | 328$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc874…e0c8backed Yes | 17c | 323.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.53 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 79c | 319.55$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.62 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d88…a3b5backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…59d6backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…0fb1backed Yes | 16c | 301.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…c330backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…1481backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.73 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Yes | 77c | 251.51$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 48c | 237.61$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.04 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…4e15backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c682backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.27 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 17c | 215.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.46 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9d…3b32backed Yes | 14c | 210.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.85 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 18c | 207.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa90a…d127backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e93…9145backed Yes | 17c | 193.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 16c | 179.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.63 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 155 | 22.6%35 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad7…b2c4backed Yes | 16c | 176.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…7d20backed No | 11c | 172.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 166.79$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.61 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebcf…5b5abacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 16c | 160$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…9116backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Yes | 73c | 151.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Japan leading at halftime?this page
- Brazil leading at halftime?No won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.