Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa641167db943b8928822eb40d04de4f8e486df8cdae89da586f2349efe7109e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 45c | 64,735$28,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,937.42 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 53,946$32,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,039.45 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 36,748$19,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,455.42 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 11,974$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.09 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…c18cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +192.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 9,792$5,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,313.15 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 46c | 7,619$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.12 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 7,211$4,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.83 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…128dbacked Yes | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 56c | 3,916$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.74 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 18c | 3,652$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.84 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 54c | 3,555$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.95 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 20c | 3,548$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.19 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 47c | 3,185$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.98 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 43c | 2,309$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.08 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Yes | 65c | 2,308$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 54c | 2,230$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.69 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 43c | 2,040$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.57 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.82 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 1,871$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.26 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 1,609$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.55 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 21c | 1,412$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.15 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 59c | 1,387$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.14 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 19c | 1,290$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.13 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes | 20c | 1,261$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 22c | 1,146$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…9182backed Yes | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Yes | 48c | 1,032$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.84 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 71c | 1,017$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.59 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 973.47$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.06 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 78c | 916.42$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.13 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 57c | 791.46$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.99 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed No | 54c | 579.58$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.52 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 28c | 574.17$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 55c | 566.91$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.11 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 24c | 562.56$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…9d9abacked Yes | 45c | 539.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 55c | 512$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…aea9backed Yes | 42c | 508.85$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.72 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 21c | 500$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…fe59backed Yes | 54c | 481.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…c22ebacked Yes | 16c | 481$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Yes | 65c | 479.73$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.82 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 54c | 462$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Yes | 65c | 415.44$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 58c | 405.53$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.41 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 55c | 386.57$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.96 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 23c | 378.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…6956backed Yes | 43c | 366.21$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.47 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 13c | 301.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…c250backed Yes | 17c | 300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes | 18c | 299.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26d…a951backed Yes | 60c | 269.65$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.79 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…3727backed Yes | 10c | 251.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 42c | 238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 55c | 233.49$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.07 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…f9fabacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa1…e412backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 62c | 228$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…4bf5backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbc…0402backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Yes | 17c | 217.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 7c | 212$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 50c | 201.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Yes | 50c | 200.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9e38backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 26c | 199$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 56c | 174.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 61c | 162$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…fcb3backed Yes | 42c | 160.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff1…ccb1backed No | 79c | 157.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…3ee2backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…2e4fbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…7d20backed Yes | 8c | 154.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 60c | 153.95$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 17c | 151.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 55c | 146.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.35 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 56c | 142.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Yes | 59c | 140.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 44c | 136.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…f4ddbacked Yes | 65c | 136$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…4e15backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…0187backed No | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 55c | 119.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…a35dbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…b8f7backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?this page
- Brazil leading at halftime?No won
- Japan leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.