Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8dd1badd9ffd6dd614ed70db6576ae952ed30a8ab5fcf892fb3645c818b89d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $325,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ca5…fd56backed Yes | 41c | 49,235$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 45,643$28,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,352.13 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 34,870$13,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,440.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 58c | 20,710$11,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,733.12 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 0c | 20,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked No | 60c | 18,273$10,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,309.2 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 40c | 17,873$7,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,149.2 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 40c | 14,573$5,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,861.94 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…1847backed Yes | 1c | 12,085$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 43c | 10,645$4,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,577.44 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 10,471$6,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,298.53 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 42c | 10,133$4,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295.81 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.98 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 59c | 8,832$5,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.25 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 8,607$5,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.57 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 60c | 6,940$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.54 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 5,719$3,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.32 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.98 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 58c | 4,520$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.33 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 59c | 4,183$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 41c | 3,208$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.39 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…55b7backed Yes | 43c | 3,101$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.49 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 59c | 2,951$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.09 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 2,881$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.86 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 37c | 2,847$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.96 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 2,787$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.88 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…ce09backed Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63e…e611backed Yes | 5c | 2,125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 28c | 2,087$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.17 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed No | 60c | 1,951$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.4 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 58c | 1,846$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.39 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 59c | 1,752$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.37 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 67c | 1,712$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.48 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 61c | 1,706$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.71 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 35c | 1,594$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.06 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…9d03backed Yes | 41c | 1,354$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…9446backed Yes | 41c | 1,244$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 57c | 1,208$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.5 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 1c | 1,203$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 174 | 32.8%57 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,186$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 59c | 1,068$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.64 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Yes | 41c | 1,024$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 43c | 994$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.12 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Yes | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked No | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 59c | 889.96$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.88 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb08…61ccbacked Yes | 41c | 861$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 59c | 776.95$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.55 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Yes | 3c | 750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 41c | 745.41$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 32c | 692.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.01 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 41c | 650.83$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.24 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 15c | 618.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 59c | 600$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.63 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…200ebacked Yes | 41c | 585.37$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked No | 61c | 553.41$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.24 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 57c | 552.57$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.18 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 58c | 544$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.48 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 60c | 512$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 43c | 508.49$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.65 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 26c | 507.44$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.34 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 37c | 506.16$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.22 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…beedbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…5cedbacked Yes | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 57c | 499.96$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.98 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe5…ecf2backed Yes | 42c | 469.67$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.26 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…7d20backed Yes | 3c | 457.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Yes | 33c | 453.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 61c | 450$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 60c | 438$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.86 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 437.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.86 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Yes | 39c | 436.63$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.29 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 43c | 430$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 423$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.57 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…d7a5backed Yes | 40c | 407.35$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.92 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +5.6wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 43c | 401.63$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.7 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 58c | 399.73$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.98 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 61c | 392$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 59c | 384$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.44 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 31c | 380$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 6c | 360$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…19bdbacked Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 59c | 320$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 61c | 320$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil leading at halftime?this page
- Brazil vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?No won
- Japan leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.