Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe299795d6454fc63c76d4e790f10f6fce6408abd7eab1bdbf5602f112e0b55d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof LGD Gaming, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 16,291$8,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,640.18 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed MOUZ | 30c | 12,961$3,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,118.52 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 12,517$7,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,197.68 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked MOUZ | 39c | 11,662$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,107.51 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed MOUZ | 48c | 11,095$5,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,805.19 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 8,500$4,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,215 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.97 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 6,888$4,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,629.2 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed MOUZ | 33c | 6,783$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,544.53 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked LGD Gaming | 53c | 6,496$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.78 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed MOUZ | 46c | 5,920$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LGD Gaming | 75c | 5,861$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.62 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed MOUZ | 43c | 5,504$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.47 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 4,337$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.9 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked MOUZ | 50c | 4,190$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.97 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 34c | 4,170$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.04 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed MOUZ | 39c | 4,145$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.36 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed MOUZ | 63c | 3,280$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.05 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked MOUZ | 37c | 3,227$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.58 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked MOUZ | 59c | 3,000$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.5 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed MOUZ | 39c | 2,865$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.4 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 24c | 2,731$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.9 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed MOUZ | 67c | 2,667$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.19 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed LGD Gaming | 80c | 2,566$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked MOUZ | 49c | 2,541$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.19 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 2,380$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.99 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 2,369$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.7 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed MOUZ | 40c | 2,344$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.3 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 2,298$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.78 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 52c | 2,200$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.01 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed MOUZ | 59c | 2,120$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.59 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 2,041$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.91 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked MOUZ | 28c | 1,804$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.43 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed MOUZ | 32c | 1,729$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.64 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed MOUZ | 24c | 1,618$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.66 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked LGD Gaming | 53c | 1,606$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.67 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed MOUZ | 28c | 1,604$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.06 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.99 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 1,584$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.44 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked LGD Gaming | 79c | 1,435$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.35 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed97…8932backed MOUZ | 73c | 1,362$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 1,328$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.34 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.35 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed LGD Gaming | 36c | 1,300$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.58 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed MOUZ | 28c | 1,187$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.78 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked MOUZ | 51c | 1,172$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.84 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…5e3fbacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed MOUZ | 65c | 999.98$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed MOUZ | 62c | 996.37$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.87 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…5069backed MOUZ | 47c | 950.21$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.21 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed MOUZ | 27c | 949.92$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.62 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed MOUZ | 34c | 925.02$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.92 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed MOUZ | 34c | 924.12$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.94 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 915.99$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed MOUZ | 26c | 908$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.92 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked LGD Gaming | 34c | 906.16$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 899.99$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.5 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked LGD Gaming | 70c | 899.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 25c | 897.15$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.84 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked MOUZ | 69c | 867.24$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.09 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked MOUZ | 22c | 851.74$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.74 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 833.43$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed MOUZ | 24c | 800$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed MOUZ | 27c | 796.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.27 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked LGD Gaming | 77c | 790.25$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.73 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed MOUZ | 60c | 749.98$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.49 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MOUZ | 47c | 744.12$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.12 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked MOUZ | 41c | 734.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.39 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ | 67c | 724.45$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.84 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 708.09$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.07 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 706.18$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.82 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked MOUZ | 61c | 689.99$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…8b13backed MOUZ | 49c | 596.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed MOUZ | 46c | 575.22$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.42 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed MOUZ | 39c | 545.58$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.57 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed MOUZ | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed MOUZ | 44c | 506.8$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.6 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked MOUZ | 46c | 500.27$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.83 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed MOUZ | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed MOUZ | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 499.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…ba3bbacked MOUZ | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked MOUZ | 28c | 489.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.79 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ | 22c | 477.27$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.27 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed MOUZ | 19c | 472.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.72 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…eef7backed MOUZ | 42c | 446.48$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.96 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…b262backed MOUZ | 22c | 437.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked LGD Gaming | 28c | 408.41$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed MOUZ | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 62c | 398.95$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.49 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed MOUZ | 23c | 368.89$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.86 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked MOUZ | 45c | 368$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.73 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 360.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked MOUZ | 23c | 360.87$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.87 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed MOUZ | 36c | 353.5$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.09 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.