Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e7c65ffae56bb534e856b5a801bf6f4fbda48d68fed0dd30b8393098867d8bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $389,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 51,825$35,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,230.22 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked MOUZ | 31c | 30,000$9,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,263.84 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 25,265$16,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,393.51 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 29c | 12,666$3,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,673.47 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 11,333$8,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.01 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked MOUZ | 32c | 11,084$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.5 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…9023backed MOUZ | 1c | 10,497$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed MOUZ | 32c | 10,050$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.5 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed MOUZ | 32c | 8,884$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.41 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked MOUZ | 30c | 8,789$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.22 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 16c | 7,663$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.17 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 6,250$4,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.9 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked MOUZ | 19c | 5,877$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.1 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked MOUZ | 26c | 5,198$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.24 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 4,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.88 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 30c | 4,200$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.29 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked MOUZ | 27c | 4,151$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.17 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 4,017$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.72 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked LGD Gaming | 70c | 3,645$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.63 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 3,250$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.98 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked LGD Gaming | 65c | 3,181$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.22 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 2,984$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.13 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 33c | 2,755$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.22 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed MOUZ | 37c | 2,716$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LGD Gaming | 70c | 2,512$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.09 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…1c3dbacked LGD Gaming | 80c | 2,510$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.68 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed MOUZ | 30c | 2,480$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.3 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed MOUZ | 24c | 2,438$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.73 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed MOUZ | 30c | 2,436$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.61 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 2,250$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.48 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ | 37c | 2,010$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.41 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 1,910$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.4 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 26c | 1,718$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked MOUZ | 39c | 1,555$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed MOUZ | 34c | 1,552$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.42 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed MOUZ | 30c | 1,474$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.13 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed MOUZ | 34c | 1,470$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 1,433$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.87 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed MOUZ | 2c | 1,337$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked MOUZ | 31c | 1,283$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed MOUZ | 17c | 1,250$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 21c | 1,229$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.23 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 1,100$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.47 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 1,096$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.34 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 36c | 1,089$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.04 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ | 34c | 1,086$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.33 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,055$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed MOUZ | 34c | 1,055$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.26 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 23c | 1,003$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.61 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 1,000$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.14 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed MOUZ | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 999.98$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.21 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked MOUZ | 42c | 955.36$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked MOUZ | 33c | 928.65$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.35 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed MOUZ | 29c | 899.99$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 889.38$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.88 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 37c | 812.13$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.38 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…6be1backed MOUZ | 23c | 805.23$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked LGD Gaming | 68c | 799.97$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21cc…54bcbacked MOUZ | 33c | 760.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 750$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 749.99$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 712.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.13 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked LGD Gaming | 71c | 694.16$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.6 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed MOUZ | 33c | 692.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.26 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…5069backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 671.15$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.32 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked MOUZ | 32c | 636.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed MOUZ | 25c | 626.55$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 600$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed MOUZ | 17c | 593.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 30c | 573.61$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ | 24c | 541.06$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.45 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 511.79$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.79 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked MOUZ | 22c | 508.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed LGD Gaming | 76c | 500$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked LGD Gaming | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed MOUZ | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…701ebacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 499.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 491.56$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.28 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 489.5$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.64 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 484.6$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.53 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 480.89$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MOUZ | 19c | 467.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…ba3bbacked MOUZ | 35c | 462$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed MOUZ | 30c | 450.89$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked MOUZ | 36c | 450$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…4f8abacked LGD Gaming | 51c | 447.06$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 438.77$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…974bbacked MOUZ | 4c | 426.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked MOUZ | 36c | 416.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…5cdabacked LGD Gaming | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…b262backed MOUZ | 28c | 407.64$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.51 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed MOUZ | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.