Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2a832b6ca96f5dc271bd29b2107d3b9731fb52e6e42845b8669b8a1175f6c7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Middlesbrough FCof Middlesbrough FC, Watford FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Watford FC | 57c | 20,008$11,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,389.72 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 3,379$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.23 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 1,750$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.5 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Watford FC | 55c | 1,304$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.71 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…35d7backed Middlesbrough FC | 42c | 651.23$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Middlesbrough FC | 44c | 609.72$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.54 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Middlesbrough FC | 44c | 573.54$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.34 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Middlesbrough FC | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Middlesbrough FC | 44c | 444$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.26 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 437.87$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.41 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Middlesbrough FC | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 383.36$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.91 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 296.81$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.18 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Middlesbrough FC | 45c | 257.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.13 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Middlesbrough FC | 55c | 233.06$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Watford FC | 57c | 197.51$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Watford FC | 54c | 180$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Middlesbrough FC | 44c | 164.73$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Middlesbrough FC | 37c | 139.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Watford FC | 58c | 112.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Watford FC | 64c | 76.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Middlesbrough FC | 38c | 76.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Middlesbrough FC | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Middlesbrough FC | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…779fbacked Middlesbrough FC | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Watford FC | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Middlesbrough FC | 44c | 43.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Middlesbrough FC | 48c | 43.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Watford FC | 34c | 40.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Watford FC | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Watford FC | 63c | 36.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Middlesbrough FC | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Watford FC | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Watford FC | 58c | 33.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Middlesbrough FC | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Middlesbrough FC | 76c | 23.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Watford FC | 56c | 21.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…0438backed Middlesbrough FC | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Watford FC | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Middlesbrough FC | 69c | 14.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.