MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc140096ad453e3156a4168555ce4d075ee0ce240f1cefe73b96d2cdddc834660
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Lotte Giants, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 1,007$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.46 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kia Tigers | 63c | 513.26$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.71 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 476.59$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Lotte Giants | 38c | 368.56$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.05 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lotte Giants | 37c | 302.12$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 285.55$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 255$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 249.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…35d7backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 249.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 15c | 237.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lotte Giants | 30c | 174.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 70c | 112.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 98.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 86.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 80.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 80.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 73.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 58.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 52.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 50.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 50.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…4c67backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 48.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Lotte Giants | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 47.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…106dbacked Kia Tigers | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 40.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Lotte Giants | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 34.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…8c1ebacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lotte Giants | 52c | 27.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Lotte Giants | 40c | 25.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Kia Tigers | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.