Movies · resolved market
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a020b012a76611a5b91aea37c84204faac13ea836e432af8a5c7eb55376465d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed No | 66c | 5,076$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.52 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd75c…69b6backed Yes | 73c | 2,587$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 26c | 1,716$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.07 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…0586backed No | 51c | 1,560$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.04 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,337$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.92 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…14babacked Yes | 14c | 935.03$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 28c | 920.46$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.55 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed No | 79c | 837.39$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.14 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64a…e66abacked Yes | 46c | 796.42$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…9722backed Yes | 35c | 783.6$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001f…9cb5backed Yes | 21c | 718.96$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 26c | 660.71$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…1376backed Yes | 53c | 646.2$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 524.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255d…0172backed No | 61c | 510.19$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 5c | 466.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…450fbacked Yes | 35c | 443.74$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 53c | 417.6$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.61 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked No | 75c | 389.16$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked No | 47c | 374$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 13c | 356.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed No | 21c | 350$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc70…41a9backed Yes | 27c | 343.13$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…70fabacked Yes | 47c | 338.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7315…1232backed Yes | 31c | 323.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -70%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…0614backed No | 64c | 314.58$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…ccfbbacked Yes | 48c | 313.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed No | 18c | 300$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…48d0backed Yes | 41c | 260$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…342bbacked No | 44c | 259.01$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339b…020cbacked Yes | 38c | 258.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…150fbacked Yes | 40c | 255.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +192.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 17c | 242.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.16 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 47c | 242.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca9…4ddcbacked Yes | 17c | 234.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked Yes | 34c | 230.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f6…4f56backed Yes | 43c | 229.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…02ddbacked Yes | 38c | 228.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…470ebacked Yes | 41c | 226.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65d…a27dbacked Yes | 27c | 220.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…51a0backed Yes | 53c | 215.7$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…5c11backed No | 77c | 214.71$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 43c | 212.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.41 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes | 15c | 211$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…61e6backed Yes | 47c | 209.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb2…75e4backed Yes | 22c | 208.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c6…e25ebacked Yes | 53c | 203$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe69…42e1backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…7424backed No | 59c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…867abacked Yes | 17c | 199.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 21c | 196.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 31c | 190.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…b7c3backed Yes | 19c | 187.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…909cbacked Yes | 34c | 185.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x990c…965bbacked No | 72c | 178$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…97d1backed Yes | 8c | 177.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed Yes | 53c | 171$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa994…19a6backed Yes | 52c | 167.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…e196backed Yes | 33c | 158.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…b8d7backed Yes | 16c | 155.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6216backed Yes | 50c | 154$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfc…22d8backed Yes | 18c | 153.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67c…ace4backed Yes | 15c | 152.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…3030backed No | 33c | 152.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…d9eabacked No | 79c | 148.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…64bdbacked No | 72c | 139.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…d27abacked Yes | 17c | 133.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 59c | 133.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 33c | 126$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe635…f33bbacked Yes | 16c | 123.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…f6bcbacked Yes | 23c | 122.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd20…b83dbacked Yes | 34c | 122.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 72c | 121.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 111 | 84.7%94 W · 17 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…76a4backed Yes | 36c | 118.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…88a3backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 15c | 116.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…e09fbacked No | 53c | 114.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…d5b2backed Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b741backed Yes | 17c | 102.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…5844backed Yes | 23c | 100.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes | 51c | 100.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae67…7cc8backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…a5b2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…0a66backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4e…8834backed Yes | 46c | 98.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…427abacked Yes | 29c | 91.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 55c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 89.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 39c | 87.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 55c | 87.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 38c | 86.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 63c | 85.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed No | 61c | 83.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…1a11backed No | 77c | 83.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 25c | 82.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…67f5backed Yes | 50c | 82.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?this page
- Will A-Train die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.