Movies · resolved market
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c4d5587275cd51b4aecbd084e005708979ebff1dbf71d5cb2b2c5e3908a4b0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 10,688$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…c035backed No | 1c | 9,373$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…16d2backed No | 0c | 6,176$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…4378backed No | 1c | 5,597$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…5630backed No | 1c | 5,212$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…cc38backed No | 1c | 4,650$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 10c | 4,000$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.8 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 4c | 3,790$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 1c | 3,599$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43c9…47c1backed Yes | 47c | 2,534$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked No | 1c | 2,414$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 2,047$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed No | 1c | 1,935$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…8ee2backed No | 1c | 1,687$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 53c | 1,536$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.08 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa65d…a27dbacked No | 7c | 1,510$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed Yes | 47c | 1,473$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.69 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked Yes | 80c | 1,464$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 1,454$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed No | 3c | 1,323$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked No | 20c | 1,254$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 1c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…12ddbacked No | 2c | 1,110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 2c | 1,052$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…b418backed No | 53c | 980$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed No | 53c | 924$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.72 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c72…015abacked No | 12c | 799.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 12c | 753.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.55 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839a…4578backed No | 11c | 742.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…8a13backed No | 2c | 670.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +124%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…c285backed No | 53c | 630$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…99c1backed No | 17c | 578.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cca…60acbacked No | 15c | 577.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Yes | 78c | 564.95$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.38 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3156backed No | 11c | 549.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…27e8backed No | 15c | 508.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4314backed No | 15c | 480.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812c…4443backed No | 11c | 456.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…4377backed No | 11c | 450.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 12c | 429.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…9740backed No | 12c | 420.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked No | 15c | 396.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…7424backed No | 12c | 344.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…1fb1backed No | 6c | 339.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8a…1589backed No | 7c | 316.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…693abacked No | 17c | 295.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e6…04b3backed No | 10c | 250.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 80c | 245.91$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fb…f978backed No | 28c | 238.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…7ebfbacked No | 14c | 230.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 19c | 230.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…fdafbacked No | 20c | 210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 14c | 203.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 22c | 195.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…ebc1backed No | 14c | 195.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3287…7058backed No | 26c | 191.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7e…80f6backed No | 16c | 189.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…de06backed No | 15c | 161.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…8b5dbacked No | 16c | 157.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 8c | 151.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed No | 15c | 150.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x107d…cb99backed No | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…ab7dbacked No | 14c | 143.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 25c | 143.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 14c | 138.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 19c | 132.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 25c | 126$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef8f…6461backed No | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…9722backed Yes | 73c | 123.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fb…4f72backed No | 15c | 119.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6216backed Yes | 80c | 115$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 10c | 101.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a0…ca6abacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…909cbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked No | 19c | 99.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 22c | 88.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 19c | 85.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…3030backed No | 26c | 77.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…76a4backed Yes | 80c | 76.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5947…802bbacked No | 24c | 67.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…cd52backed Yes | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b4…cc0cbacked No | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…450fbacked No | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa1…deebbacked No | 21c | 47.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 71c | 40.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 76c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…a157backed No | 49c | 34.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked Yes | 77c | 25.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked Yes | 79c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…d578backed Yes | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…7163backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?this page
- Will A-Train die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.