Movies · resolved market
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x206138f391fab114f9e279e5e940ba82b514bdac6b3ada364295e136621a3ba1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb766…1d83backed Yes | 77c | 9,625$7,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed No | 2c | 5,595$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.19 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f4…ad4ebacked No | 20c | 4,150$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…dcdabacked No | 24c | 3,803$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…5f1abacked Yes | 79c | 3,746$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed No | 11c | 3,297$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63e…70f2backed Yes | 76c | 3,061$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 22c | 3,000$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.52 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 21c | 2,244$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.02 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed No | 5c | 2,208$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.18 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x352d…cb9ebacked Yes | 78c | 2,036$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 20c | 2,007$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.7 | 131 | 23.7%31 W · 100 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 21c | 1,702$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed No | 23c | 1,586$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…90e6backed No | 22c | 1,555$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed No | 12c | 1,547$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.58 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7e…596cbacked No | 1c | 1,375$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…49d8backed Yes | 73c | 1,193$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 71c | 1,184$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.65 | 143 | 14.7%21 W · 122 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked No | 20c | 1,093$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.84 | 64 | 4.7%3 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…86aebacked No | 23c | 1,062$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…ed73backed Yes | 74c | 1,046$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 25c | 998.5$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.95 | 235 | 30.6%72 W · 163 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 7c | 959.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…cb21backed No | 24c | 907.49$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked Yes | 76c | 865.28$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60a…68a7backed No | 18c | 814.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed No | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 71c | 757.74$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…7baabacked No | 23c | 705.11$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…9cd5backed No | 16c | 688.39$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…0614backed Yes | 78c | 683.09$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…dcb7backed No | 4c | 682.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 25c | 680$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…87b5backed No | 21c | 656.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…328bbacked No | 25c | 639.18$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…570bbacked No | 22c | 631.18$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f9…45d4backed Yes | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 77c | 584.45$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 368 | 38.3%141 W · 227 L | -19.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc8…a7a5backed No | 25c | 576.61$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…8568backed No | 20c | 561.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 11c | 540$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 269 | 6.3%17 W · 252 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…2b87backed No | 20c | 539.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Yes | 79c | 536.37$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…7c3bbacked Yes | 79c | 527.72$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…e196backed No | 40c | 526.22$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…909cbacked No | 24c | 525.58$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 21c | 520.56$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…b391backed No | 19c | 517.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 80c | 499.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf657…a60cbacked No | 22c | 460.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…cd18backed Yes | 75c | 447.1$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b1…0d17backed No | 23c | 429.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…0190backed No | 26c | 415.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…8c6dbacked Yes | 75c | 400.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a80…b188backed Yes | 78c | 391.91$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked Yes | 75c | 389.46$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb538…bd42backed No | 26c | 384.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 21c | 381.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe662…8954backed No | 27c | 375.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c72…015abacked No | 32c | 374$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d4…3b1dbacked Yes | 80c | 357$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd20…f08fbacked No | 27c | 354.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…693abacked No | 29c | 342.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…f942backed No | 20c | 342.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…317fbacked Yes | 73c | 338.17$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…b873backed No | 5c | 336.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Yes | 71c | 332.98$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb419…b6f4backed No | 29c | 321.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 24c | 320.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 1,415 | 8%113 W · 1,302 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 18c | 301.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…7ebfbacked No | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 69c | 299.98$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed No | 28c | 299.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…1b62backed No | 32c | 297.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…368abacked Yes | 78c | 294$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…e09fbacked No | 29c | 286.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8c…edcdbacked No | 28c | 285.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked No | 18c | 280.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Yes | 80c | 280$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511d…3633backed Yes | 77c | 276.98$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…e21ebacked No | 25c | 275.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d10…891ebacked No | 31c | 274.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0e…fb2ebacked No | 27c | 274.32$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7295…229fbacked No | 7c | 266.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…fd16backed No | 20c | 252.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dc…06cfbacked No | 27c | 251.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4314backed No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0b…6465backed No | 19c | 241.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…1a24backed No | 8c | 240.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788b…43f0backed No | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed No | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…882abacked No | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0203…be5bbacked No | 25c | 235.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 69c | 234.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e45…0df2backed Yes | 79c | 234.27$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbf…3eeabacked No | 25c | 220.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 78c | 219.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked Yes | 79c | 214.76$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?this page
- Will A-Train die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.